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Effects of Forward Sales on Spot Markets: Pre-commitment Sales and Prices for Fresh Strawberries

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  • Sandeep Mohapatra
  • Rachael E. Goodhue
  • Colin A. Carter
  • James A. Chalfant

Abstract

Increasingly, agricultural markets are vertically coordinated. Often a thinning spot market coexists with coordinated transactions, raising the question of how private coordination affects the market as a whole. One of the greatest challenges when analyzing such market-level effects is obtaining information on private transactions. We utilize publicly available data to evaluate how informal contracts in the fresh strawberry market affect spot market prices using a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic in mean (GARCH-M) model. We find that these informal contracts increased spot prices, as argued by some industry members, while the effect on spot price volatility varied by production region. Copyright 2010, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Sandeep Mohapatra & Rachael E. Goodhue & Colin A. Carter & James A. Chalfant, 2010. "Effects of Forward Sales on Spot Markets: Pre-commitment Sales and Prices for Fresh Strawberries," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 92(1), pages 152-163.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:92:y:2010:i:1:p:152-163
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/ajae/aap028
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    Cited by:

    1. MacDonald, James M. & Korb, Penelope J., 2011. "Agricultural Contracting Update: Contracts in 2008," Economic Information Bulletin 101279, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    2. Songjiao Chen & William Wilson & Ryan Larsen & Bruce Dahl, 2016. "Risk Management for Grain Processors and “Copulas”," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 64(2), pages 365-382, June.

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