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Distributed Lag Estimation of Harmonic Motion in the Hog Market

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  • Mark S. Jelavich

Abstract

The harmonic motion model as explanation of some markets' behavior is an alternative to the cobweb model. A distributed lag technique for estimating harmonic motion is presented. Results are consistent with the four-year period observed in the hog cycle; an inference about farmers' expectations can be made from the results.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark S. Jelavich, 1973. "Distributed Lag Estimation of Harmonic Motion in the Hog Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 55(2), pages 223-224.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:55:y:1973:i:2:p:223-224.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1238442
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    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Tsoung-Chao & Seaver, Stanley K., 1980. "Forecasts Of Farm Animal Production In The New England States And In The U.S," Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 0(Number 1), pages 1-6, April.
    2. Shonkwiler, J.S. & Spreen, T.H., 1986. "Bootstrapping The Hog Cycle," 1986 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Reno, Nevada 278160, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Christoph Engel & Hanjo Hamann, 2012. "The Hog-Cycle of Law Professors," Discussion Paper Series of the Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods 2012_08, Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods.
    4. Chavas, Jean-Paul, 1999. "On The Economic Rationality Of Market Participants: The Case Of Expectations In The U.S. Pork Market," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(1), pages 1-19, July.
    5. Spreen, Thomas H. & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, 1981. "The Hog Cycle Revisited," 1981 Annual Meeting, July 26-29, Clemson, South Carolina 279384, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. Craig, Lee A. & Holt, Matthew T., 2008. "Mechanical refrigeration, seasonality, and the hog-corn cycle in the United States: 1870-1940," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 30-50, January.
    7. Christoph Engel & Hanjo Hamann, 2016. "The Hog Cycle of Law Professors: An Econometric Time Series Analysis of the Entry-Level Job Market in Legal Academia," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(7), pages 1-22, July.
    8. Lee, Tsoung-Chao & Seaver, Stanley K., 1980. "Forecasts Of Farm Animal Production In The New England States And In The U.S," Journal of the Northeastern Agricultural Economics Council, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 9(1), pages 1-6, April.

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