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Análise de sensibilidade do consumo de gasolina C entre julho de 2001 e dezembro de 2008: política tributária estadual como instrumento de políticas energéticas e ambientais [Sensitive Analysis of Gasoline Consumption between July 2001 and December 2008: State Tax Policy as Instrument of Energy and Enviromental Policies]


  • Thaís Machado de M. Vilela


  • Helder Queiroz Pinto Junior



This paper is focused on a descriptive analysis of gasoline consumption to identify different consumers' behaviors among Brazilian States. The sensitive analysis of gasoline demand to price variation must consider a larger set of variables. Trough a traditional econometric time series approach, this paper aims at assessing the different reactions to price changes, more specifically, changes in state tax, ICMS, over gasoline. The tax-elasticity calculation allows us to verify the possible use of state public policies, specially concerning environmental and energy issues.

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  • Thaís Machado de M. Vilela & Helder Queiroz Pinto Junior, 2010. "Análise de sensibilidade do consumo de gasolina C entre julho de 2001 e dezembro de 2008: política tributária estadual como instrumento de políticas energéticas e ambientais [Sensitive Analysis of Gas," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 20(3), pages 403-426, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:nov:artigo:v:20:y:2010:i:3:p:403-426

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Obstfeld, Maurice, 1986. "Rational and Self-fulfilling Balance-of-Payments Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(1), pages 72-81, March.
    2. Carmen M. Reinhart & Graciela L. Kaminsky, 1999. "The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payments Problems," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(3), pages 473-500, June.
    3. Krugman, Paul, 1979. "A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(3), pages 311-325, August.
    4. Gabriel Palma, 2000. "The Magical Realism of Brazilian Economics: How to Create a Financial Crisis by Trying to Avoid One," SCEPA working paper series. SCEPA's main areas of research are macroeconomic policy, inequality and poverty, and globalization. 2000-16, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
    5. Feldstein, Martin & Horioka, Charles, 1980. "Domestic Saving and International Capital Flows," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 90(358), pages 314-329, June.
    6. Flood, Robert P. & Garber, Peter M., 1984. "Collapsing exchange-rate regimes : Some linear examples," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(1-2), pages 1-13, August.
    7. Maurice Obstfeld, 1994. "The Logic of Currency Crises," NBER Working Papers 4640, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    More about this item


    gasoline; demand price-elasticity; ICMS;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • H39 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Other


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