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Predicting climate-driven regime shifts versus rebound potential in coral reefs

Author

Listed:
  • Nicholas A. J. Graham

    (Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University)

  • Simon Jennings

    (Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Pakefield Road, Lowestoft NR33 OHT, UK
    School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK)

  • M. Aaron MacNeil

    (Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University
    Australian Institute of Marine Science, PMB 3 Townsville MC)

  • David Mouillot

    (Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University
    ECOSYM, UMR CNRS-UM2 5119, Université Montpellier 2, 34095 Montpellier Cedex, France)

  • Shaun K. Wilson

    (Kensington
    School of Plant Biology, Oceans Institute, University of Western Australia)

Abstract

An analysis of 21 coral reefs in the Indian Ocean using data across 17 years that spanned a major climatic disturbance reveals factors that predispose a coral reef to recovery or regime shift from hard corals to macroalgae; these results could foreshadow the likely outcomes of tropical coral reefs to the effects of climate change, informing management and adaptation plans.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicholas A. J. Graham & Simon Jennings & M. Aaron MacNeil & David Mouillot & Shaun K. Wilson, 2015. "Predicting climate-driven regime shifts versus rebound potential in coral reefs," Nature, Nature, vol. 518(7537), pages 94-97, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:518:y:2015:i:7537:d:10.1038_nature14140
    DOI: 10.1038/nature14140
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    Cited by:

    1. Tommi Perälä & Esben M Olsen & Jeffrey A Hutchings, 2020. "Disentangling conditional effects of multiple regime shifts on Atlantic cod productivity," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(11), pages 1-16, November.
    2. Danielle C Claar & Lisa Szostek & Jamie M McDevitt-Irwin & Julian J Schanze & Julia K Baum, 2018. "Global patterns and impacts of El Niño events on coral reefs: A meta-analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(2), pages 1-22, February.
    3. Chaijaroen, Pasita, 2019. "Long-lasting income shocks and adaptations: Evidence from coral bleaching in Indonesia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 119-136.
    4. Kubicek, Andreas & Reuter, Hauke, 2016. "Mechanics of multiple feedbacks in benthic coral reef communities," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 329(C), pages 29-40.
    5. Schutter, Marleen S. & Hicks, Christina C. & Phelps, Jacob & Belmont, Clara, 2021. "Disentangling ecosystem services preferences and values," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    6. Elena Gissi & Stefano Menegon & Alessandro Sarretta & Federica Appiotti & Denis Maragno & Andrea Vianello & Daniel Depellegrin & Chiara Venier & Andrea Barbanti, 2017. "Addressing uncertainty in modelling cumulative impacts within maritime spatial planning in the Adriatic and Ionian region," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(7), pages 1-30, July.

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