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Planning power systems in fragile and conflict-affected states

Author

Listed:
  • E. Spyrou

    (Johns Hopkins University)

  • B. F. Hobbs

    (Johns Hopkins University)

  • M. D. Bazilian

    (Colorado School of Mines)

  • D. Chattopadhyay

    (World Bank Group)

Abstract

Novel approaches are necessary to accelerate the provision of reliable electric power in fragile and conflict-affected countries. Existing approaches to planning power system investment tend to ignore conflict-related risk and its serious consequences. Here, we propose a framework for identifying power system investment strategies in fragile and conflict-affected countries, and apply it to South Sudan. Our results show that investment strategies that explicitly consider the challenges posed by potential conflict may improve the reliability of electricity service over the status-quo approach. Our analysis suggests investing in a diverse mix of supply types in the medium term, and building a power system with redundancies or a higher share of local resources in the long term, to reduce vulnerability to conflict and socio-political fragility.

Suggested Citation

  • E. Spyrou & B. F. Hobbs & M. D. Bazilian & D. Chattopadhyay, 2019. "Planning power systems in fragile and conflict-affected states," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 4(4), pages 300-310, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natene:v:4:y:2019:i:4:d:10.1038_s41560-019-0346-x
    DOI: 10.1038/s41560-019-0346-x
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    Cited by:

    1. Alexandros Korkovelos & Dimitrios Mentis & Morgan Bazilian & Mark Howells & Anwar Saraj & Sulaiman Fayez Hotaki & Fanny Missfeldt-Ringius, 2020. "Supporting Electrification Policy in Fragile States: A Conflict-Adjusted Geospatial Least Cost Approach for Afghanistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-34, January.
    2. Alexander Theisen & Lynne Kiesling & Michael Munger, 2022. "From Airbnb to solar: electricity market platforms as local sharing economies," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 193(3), pages 141-162, December.
    3. Teichgraeber, Holger & Brandt, Adam R., 2022. "Time-series aggregation for the optimization of energy systems: Goals, challenges, approaches, and opportunities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    4. Pablo Benalcazar & Jacek Kamiński & Karol Stós, 2022. "An Integrated Approach to Long-Term Fuel Supply Planning in Combined Heat and Power Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-22, November.
    5. Robert Lindner, 2023. "Green hydrogen partnerships with the Global South. Advancing an energy justice perspective on “tomorrow's oil”," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(2), pages 1038-1053, April.

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