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Quantifying the ozone and ultraviolet benefits already achieved by the Montreal Protocol

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  • M. P. Chipperfield

    (School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds
    National Centre for Earth Observation (NCEO), University of Leeds)

  • S. S. Dhomse

    (School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds
    National Centre for Earth Observation (NCEO), University of Leeds)

  • W. Feng

    (School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds
    National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS))

  • R. L. McKenzie

    (National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA))

  • G.J.M. Velders

    (National Institute for Public Health and the Environment)

  • J. A. Pyle

    (National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS)
    University of Cambridge)

Abstract

Chlorine- and bromine-containing ozone-depleting substances (ODSs) are controlled by the 1987 Montreal Protocol. In consequence, atmospheric equivalent chlorine peaked in 1993 and has been declining slowly since then. Consistent with this, models project a gradual increase in stratospheric ozone with the Antarctic ozone hole expected to disappear by ∼2050. However, we show that by 2013 the Montreal Protocol had already achieved significant benefits for the ozone layer. Using a 3D atmospheric chemistry transport model, we demonstrate that much larger ozone depletion than observed has been avoided by the protocol, with beneficial impacts on surface ultraviolet. A deep Arctic ozone hole, with column values

Suggested Citation

  • M. P. Chipperfield & S. S. Dhomse & W. Feng & R. L. McKenzie & G.J.M. Velders & J. A. Pyle, 2015. "Quantifying the ozone and ultraviolet benefits already achieved by the Montreal Protocol," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 6(1), pages 1-8, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:6:y:2015:i:1:d:10.1038_ncomms8233
    DOI: 10.1038/ncomms8233
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    Cited by:

    1. Grašič, Mateja & Dobravc, Maja & Golob, Aleksandra & Vogel-Mikuš, Katarina & Gaberščik, Alenka, 2019. "Water shortage reduces silicon uptake in barley leaves," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 47-56.
    2. Abman, Ryan & Lundberg, Clark & Szmurlo, Daniel, 2022. "Trade, Emissions, and Environmental Spillovers: Issue Linkages in Regional Trade Agreements," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322511, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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