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Inter-basin contrast in the Southern Ocean warming

Author

Listed:
  • Yuanyuan Song

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

  • Yuanlong Li

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Qingdao Marine Science and Technology Center)

  • Gaël Forget

    (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

  • Aixue Hu

    (National Center for Atmospheric Research)

  • Qian Li

    (Massachusetts Institute of Technology
    Florida State University)

  • Jia-Rui Shi

    (Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
    New York University)

  • Xiaodan Chen

    (Fudan University)

  • Kai Ge

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Fan Wang

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Qingdao Marine Science and Technology Center)

Abstract

The Southern Ocean (SO) is a major contributor to global ocean heat uptake, exhibiting deep-reaching warming trends within the 35°S-55°S band. Here, we reveal a notable inter-basin contrast in the SO warming rates. Over the past six decades, the warming of the 0-700 m Atlantic-Indian sector was 40.0 ± 5.7% faster than the Pacific sector, nearly doubling at ~44°S. Ocean-only and coupled model experiments suggest that this basin-scale contrast arises from alterations in wind-driven heat redistribution rather than surface heating. Specifically, the intensification and poleward migration of westerly winds are more prominent in the Atlantic-Indian sector, leading to stronger upper-layer heat convergence. The inter-basin warming contrast is projected to persist and amplify throughout the remainder of the 21st century. This study highlights the inter-basin contrast in the past and future SO warming, with useful implications for understanding regional changes in the SO climate, ice mass, and marine ecosystems.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuanyuan Song & Yuanlong Li & Gaël Forget & Aixue Hu & Qian Li & Jia-Rui Shi & Xiaodan Chen & Kai Ge & Fan Wang, 2025. "Inter-basin contrast in the Southern Ocean warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-12, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:16:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-025-64112-8
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-64112-8
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