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Shrinking of fishes exacerbates impacts of global ocean changes on marine ecosystems

Author

Listed:
  • William W. L. Cheung

    (Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia)

  • Jorge L. Sarmiento

    (Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University)

  • John Dunne

    (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)

  • Thomas L. Frölicher

    (Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University)

  • Vicky W. Y. Lam

    (Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia)

  • M. L. Deng Palomares

    (Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia)

  • Reg Watson

    (Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia)

  • Daniel Pauly

    (Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia)

Abstract

In the ocean, biological responses to climate change include altered distribution, phenology and productivity. A modelling study into the integrated effects of these various changes on fish body size suggests that averaged maximum body weight could fall by 14–24% globally by 2050. About half of the decline is accounted for by changes in distribution and abundance, with the remainder being physiological.

Suggested Citation

  • William W. L. Cheung & Jorge L. Sarmiento & John Dunne & Thomas L. Frölicher & Vicky W. Y. Lam & M. L. Deng Palomares & Reg Watson & Daniel Pauly, 2013. "Shrinking of fishes exacerbates impacts of global ocean changes on marine ecosystems," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(3), pages 254-258, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:3:d:10.1038_nclimate1691
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1691
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    Cited by:

    1. Christopher R. Loeffler & Luciana Tartaglione & Miriam Friedemann & Astrid Spielmeyer & Oliver Kappenstein & Dorina Bodi, 2021. "Ciguatera Mini Review: 21st Century Environmental Challenges and the Interdisciplinary Research Efforts Rising to Meet Them," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(6), pages 1-27, March.
    2. Cheung, William W.L. & Jones, Miranda C. & Reygondeau, Gabriel & Stock, Charles A. & Lam, Vicky W.Y. & Frölicher, Thomas L., 2016. "Structural uncertainty in projecting global fisheries catches under climate change," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 325(C), pages 57-66.
    3. F J Heather & D Z Childs & A M Darnaude & J L Blanchard, 2018. "Using an integral projection model to assess the effect of temperature on the growth of gilthead seabream Sparus aurata," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(5), pages 1-19, May.
    4. Mariana Fuentes & Lynda Chambers & Andrew Chin & Peter Dann & Kirstin Dobbs & Helene Marsh & Elvira Poloczanska & Kim Maison & Malcolm Turner & Robert Pressey, 2016. "Adaptive management of marine mega-fauna in a changing climate," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 209-224, February.
    5. Schwamborn, R. & Mildenberger, T.K. & Taylor, M.H., 2019. "Assessing sources of uncertainty in length-based estimates of body growth in populations of fishes and macroinvertebrates with bootstrapped ELEFAN," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 393(C), pages 37-51.
    6. Tai, Travis C. & Harley, Christopher D.G. & Cheung, William W.L., 2018. "Comparing model parameterizations of the biophysical impacts of ocean acidification to identify limitations and uncertainties," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 385(C), pages 1-11.
    7. Péter Palásti & Ágnes Gulyás & Márton Kiss, 2022. "Mapping Freshwater Aquaculture’s Diverse Ecosystem Services with Participatory Techniques: A Case Study from White Lake, Hungary," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-20, December.

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