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Adapted conservation measures are required to save the Iberian lynx in a changing climate

Author

Listed:
  • D. A. Fordham

    (Environment Institute and School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Adelaide)

  • H. R. Akçakaya

    (Stony Brook University)

  • B. W. Brook

    (Environment Institute and School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Adelaide)

  • A. Rodríguez

    (Estación Biológica de Doñana, CSIC)

  • P. C. Alves

    (CIBIO, Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos & Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade do Porto
    Wildlife Biology Program, College of Forestry and Conservation, University of Montana)

  • E. Civantos

    (CIBIO, Centro de Investigação em Biodiversidade e Recursos Genéticos & Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade do Porto
    National Museum of Natural Sciences, CSIC)

  • M. Triviño

    (National Museum of Natural Sciences, CSIC
    University of Jyväskylä)

  • M. J. Watts

    (Environment Institute and School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Adelaide
    Information Technology Programme, AIS St Helens)

  • M. B. Araújo

    (National Museum of Natural Sciences, CSIC
    Rui Nabeiro Biodiversity Chair, CIBIO, University of Évora
    Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, University of Copenhagen)

Abstract

The Iberian lynx has suffered severe population declines in the twentieth century. An ecological modelling study that accounts for the effects of climate change, prey availability and management intervention now shows that lynx are likely to become extinct in the wild in the next 50 years. However, a carefully planned reintroduction program could avert extinction this century.

Suggested Citation

  • D. A. Fordham & H. R. Akçakaya & B. W. Brook & A. Rodríguez & P. C. Alves & E. Civantos & M. Triviño & M. J. Watts & M. B. Araújo, 2013. "Adapted conservation measures are required to save the Iberian lynx in a changing climate," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(10), pages 899-903, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:10:d:10.1038_nclimate1954
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1954
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    Cited by:

    1. Pelayo Acevedo & Alberto Jiménez-Valverde & Jorge M. Lobo & Raimundo Real, 2017. "Predictor weighting and geographical background delimitation: two synergetic sources of uncertainty when assessing species sensitivity to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 145(1), pages 131-143, November.
    2. Pliscoff, Patricio & Luebert, Federico & Hilger, Hartmut H. & Guisan, Antoine, 2014. "Effects of alternative sets of climatic predictors on species distribution models and associated estimates of extinction risk: A test with plants in an arid environment," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 288(C), pages 166-177.
    3. Adriano Mazziotta & María Triviño & Olli-Pekka Tikkanen & Jari Kouki & Harri Strandman & Mikko Mönkkönen, 2016. "Habitat associations drive species vulnerability to climate change in boreal forests," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 135(3), pages 585-595, April.
    4. Watts, Michael J. & Fordham, Damien A. & Akçakaya, H. Resit & Aiello-Lammens, Matthew E. & Brook, Barry W., 2013. "Tracking shifting range margins using geographical centroids of metapopulations weighted by population density," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 269(C), pages 61-69.

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