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Economic and social constraints on reforestation for climate mitigation in Southeast Asia

Author

Listed:
  • Yiwen Zeng

    (National University of Singapore)

  • Tasya Vadya Sarira

    (The University of Adelaide)

  • L. Roman Carrasco

    (National University of Singapore)

  • Kwek Yan Chong

    (National University of Singapore)

  • Daniel A. Friess

    (National University of Singapore)

  • Janice Ser Huay Lee

    (Nanyang Technological University of Singapore)

  • Pierre Taillardat

    (GEOTOP, Université du Québec à Montréal)

  • Thomas A. Worthington

    (University of Cambridge)

  • Yuchen Zhang

    (National University of Singapore)

  • Lian Pin Koh

    (National University of Singapore)

Abstract

As climate change continues to threaten human and natural systems, the search for cost-effective and practical mitigation solutions is gaining momentum. Reforestation has recently been identified as a promising nature-based climate solution. Yet there are context-dependent biophysical, financial, land-use and operational constraints to reforestation that demand careful consideration. Here, we show that 121 million ha of presently degraded land in Southeast Asia, a region noted for its significant reforestation potential, are biophysically suitable for reforestation. Reforestation of this land would contribute 3.43 ± 1.29 PgCO2e yr−1 to climate mitigation through 2030. However, by taking a combination of on-the-ground financial, land use and operational constraints into account, we find that only a fraction of that mitigation potential may be achievable (0.3–18%). Such constraints are not insurmountable, but they show that careful planning and consideration are needed for effective landscape-scale reforestation.

Suggested Citation

  • Yiwen Zeng & Tasya Vadya Sarira & L. Roman Carrasco & Kwek Yan Chong & Daniel A. Friess & Janice Ser Huay Lee & Pierre Taillardat & Thomas A. Worthington & Yuchen Zhang & Lian Pin Koh, 2020. "Economic and social constraints on reforestation for climate mitigation in Southeast Asia," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 10(9), pages 842-844, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:10:y:2020:i:9:d:10.1038_s41558-020-0856-3
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0856-3
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    Cited by:

    1. Aryal, Jeetendra P., 2022. "Contribution of Agriculture to Climate Change and Low-Emission Agricultural Development in Asia and the Pacific," ADBI Working Papers 1340, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    2. Qiming Zheng & Tim Ha & Alexander V. Prishchepov & Yiwen Zeng & He Yin & Lian Pin Koh, 2023. "The neglected role of abandoned cropland in supporting both food security and climate change mitigation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    3. Rana, Pushpendra & Fleischman, Forrest & Ramprasad, Vijay & Lee, Kangjae, 2022. "Predicting wasteful spending in tree planting programs in Indian Himalaya," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    4. Fuller, Madisen & Baker, Justin & Roberts, Zoey & Latta, Gret & Ohrel, Sara & Gower, Tom, 2023. "Projecting the spatial distribution of tree planting under different policy incentive structures," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 337099, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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