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Profits, confidence, and public deficits: modeling Minsky's institutional dynamics




In this paper, we present a Minskyan model that deals explicitly with the influence of the institutional dynamics on the relation between finance, investment, and economic fluctuations. We show that stabilization policy can be efficient in certain cases--namely, when fiscal policy is sensitive enough to variations in private investment. In contrast, the economy is unstable when the deficit constraint is not flexible enough. These results, which echo recent debates and proposals on budget deficit rules in the Economic and Monetary Union, are fully consistent with the way Minsky considered that public authorities should "stabilize an unstable economy."

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Nasica & Alain Raybaut, 2005. "Profits, confidence, and public deficits: modeling Minsky's institutional dynamics," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 136-154.
  • Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:28:y:2005:i:1:p:136-154
    DOI: 10.1080/01603477.2005.11051465

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    11. Abdelhak Senhadji, 1998. "Time-Series Estimation of Structural Import Demand Equations: A Cross-Country Analysis," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 45(2), pages 236-268, June.
    12. M. Ansari & N. Hashemzadeh & Y. Xi, 2000. "The Chronicle of Economic Growth in Southeast Asian Countries: Does Thirlwall’s Law Provide an Adequate Explanation?," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 573-588, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sébastien Charles, 2008. "Teaching Minsky's financial instability hypothesis: a manageable suggestion," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 125-138, September.
    2. Charles, Sébastien & Dallery, Thomas, 2013. "Le Canada et l’austérité expansionniste dans les années quatre-vingt-dix : un « succès » macroéconomique à revisiter ?," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 89(3), pages 207-230, Septembre.
    3. Ryoo, Soon, 2010. "Long waves and short cycles in a model of endogenous financial fragility," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 74(3), pages 163-186, June.
    4. Chiarella Carl & Di Guilmi Corrado, 2012. "The Fiscal Cost of Financial Instability," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(4), pages 1-29, October.
    5. Eleonora Cavallaro & Bernardo Maggi, 2016. "State of confidence, overborrowing and the macroeconomic stabilization puzzle: a system dynamic approach," Working Papers 174, University of Rome La Sapienza, Department of Public Economics.
    6. Cavallaro, Eleonora & Maggi, Bernardo, 2016. "State of confidence, overborrowing and macroeconomic stabilization in out-of-equilibrium dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 210-223.

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