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Economic Uncertainty and Credit Crunch : Evidence from an Emerging Market

Author

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  • SEZA DANISOG¬LU RHOADES
  • Z. NURAY GÜNER

Abstract

Using both univariate and multivariate analyses, this paper attempts to determine whether a credit crunch occurred in the Turkish economy during the 1990s. It also addresses the question of whether this credit crunch was a supply-side- or a demand-side-originated phenomenon. Economic uncertainty is proxied by unanticipated inflation. The analyses are carried out by controlling for political uncertainty as well. The results indicate that economic uncertainty has a significantly negative impact on the supply of, and the demand for, loans. Also, there is evidence that a supply-side-originated credit crunch occurred in the Turkish economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Seza Danisog¬Lu Rhoades & Z. Nuray Güner, 2003. "Economic Uncertainty and Credit Crunch : Evidence from an Emerging Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 5-23, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:39:y:2003:i:4:p:5-23
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Chung-Hua Shen & Haumin Chu & Yu-Chun Wang, 2012. "Who Furls the Umbrella on Rainy Days? The Role of Bank Ownership Type and Bank Size in SME Lending," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(0), pages 184-199, July.
    2. Poghosyan, Tigran, 2011. "Slowdown of credit flows in Jordan in the wake of the global financial crisis: Supply or demand driven?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 562-573.
    3. Wang, Hui & Shen, Huayu & Tang, Xiaoyi & Wu, Zuofeng & Ma, Shuming, 2021. "Trade policy uncertainty and firm risk taking," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 351-364.

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