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Savings and growth in Bangladesh

Author

Listed:
  • Pradeep Agrawal
  • Pravakar Sahoo

    (Institute of Economic Growth, India)

Abstract

Savings and growth are often strongly correlated. Thus, it is important to study the determinants of savings and the direction of causality between savings and growth as these have important implications for development policy. Yet, careful empirical studies on savings behavior are missing for Bangladesh. Thus, in this paper, we estimate the long-run total and private savings functions for Bangladesh using recent time series techniques. We find that the total savings rate is mainly determined by the GDP growth rate, dependency ratio, interest rates and bank density. The private savings rate is also affected by the public savings rate. Further, using the Granger Causality tests, we find that in Bangladesh, there is a bi-directional causality between savings and growth. We also carry out the Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) analysis using the VAR framework. The FEVD results confirm the causality results obtained using the Granger causality tests as well as the estimated savings functions.

Suggested Citation

  • Pradeep Agrawal & Pravakar Sahoo, 2009. "Savings and growth in Bangladesh," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 42(2), pages 89-110, January-M.
    • Handle: RePEc:jda:journl:vol.42:year:2009:issue2:pp:89-110
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Nihal Y ld r m M zrak & Muhammet Dastan, 2018. "Savings Rates in Turkey: The Prospects For A Sustainable Growth," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(2), pages 227-237.
    2. Rostom,Ahmed Mohamed Tawfick, 2016. "Money demand in the Arab Republic of Egypt : a vector equilibrium correction model," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7679, The World Bank.
    3. Bassam AbuAl-Foul, "undated". "The Causal Relation between Savings and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis," Economics Working Papers 06-05/2015, School of Business Administration, American University of Sharjah.
    4. Mushtaq, Saba & Mushtaq, Faiza, 2022. "Effects of inflation (consumer price index) and other macroeconomic variables on bank deposits: Evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 113093, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Anjum Siddiqui & Abdul Waheed & Haider Mahmood, 2016. "Social and Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Private Savings: A Case Study of a Developing Economy," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 1768-1777.
    6. Irma Didelija, 2019. "Analysis Of Empirical Literature Of Saving Determinants," Noble International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Noble Academic Publsiher, vol. 4(12), pages 111-120, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Savings; Growth; Bangladesh; Causality; Co-integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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