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The relationship between the stock market and foreign direct investment in Croatia: evidence from VAR and cointegration analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Vladimir Arcabic

    (University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Tomislav Globan

    (University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Irena Raguz

    (University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, Zagreb, Croatia)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate the existence and characteristics of both the long- and short-term relationships between FDI and the stock market in Croatia. The main hypothesis is that, in the long run, trends in FDI should determine the movement of the stock market through the channel of economic growth. However, in the short run, upward movement on the stock market positively affects Croatian FDI stock, as events on the stock market signalize the vitality and investment climate of the domestic market to foreign investors. The long-term connection is tested by two cointegration approaches; the results of both models suggest the absence of a long-term relationship among observed variables, which may be explained by the lack of connection between FDI and economic growth in Croatia. The short-run relationship is investigated by a two-variable VAR model, and the results obtained are consistent with the theoretical assumptions, as the stock market did prove to be an important short-term determinant of FDI in Croatia.

Suggested Citation

  • Vladimir Arcabic & Tomislav Globan & Irena Raguz, 2013. "The relationship between the stock market and foreign direct investment in Croatia: evidence from VAR and cointegration analysis," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 37(1), pages 109-126.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipf:finteo:v:37:y:2013:i:1:p:109-126
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Faisal Faisal & Peshraw Majid Muhamad & Turgut Tursoy, 2016. "Impact of Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Financial Development on Stock Prices in China: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 1998-2006.
    2. Sulehri, Fiaz Ahmad & Ali, Amjad, 2024. "Assessing the Pathways of Sustainable Development: A Structural Equation Modeling Investigation of Regulatory Framework, Innovation, and Economic Indicators," MPRA Paper 121286, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Abdulazeez Y. H. Saif-Alyousf & Asish Saha & Rohani Md-Rus, 2017. "Shareholders' Value of Saudi Commercial Banks: A Comparative Evaluation between Islamic and Conventional Banks using CAMEL Parameters," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 97-105.
    4. Özcan Karahan & Musa Bayır, 2022. "The effects of monetary policies on foreign direct investment inflows in emerging economies: some policy implications for post-COVID-19," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, December.
    5. Yavas, Burhan F. & Malladi, Rama K., 2020. "Foreign direct investment and financial markets influences: Results from the United States," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    6. Jokosenumi Saidat Omolola & Adesete Ahmed Adefemi, 2018. "Modelling the Effect of Stock Market Volatility and Exchange Rate Volatility on Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria: A New Framework Approach," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(12), pages 1482-1505, December.
    7. Gbenga Festus Babarinde, 2020. "The Role of Foreign Direct Investment in Stock Market Development in Nigeria: A Test of Complementarity," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 12(2), pages 175-187, December.
    8. O. K. Adeleke, 2023. "FDI inflows and stock market development in Nigeria," Journal of Economic Policy and Management Issues, JEPMI, vol. 2(2), pages 19-30.
    9. Aastha Khera & Neelam Dhanda, 2020. "Empirical Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Prices of Indian Banking Sector: A Vector Error Correction Model Approach," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 12(2), pages 189-198, December.

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