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Technical Note—Operations Research on Football

Author

Listed:
  • Virgil Carter

    (Cincinnati Bengals Football Team, Cincinnati, Ohio)

  • Robert E. Machol

    (Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois)

Abstract

Based on a census of 8,373 plays from the first 56 games of the 1969 schedule of the National Football League, this note calculates, for various field positions, the expected point values of possession of the football with first down and ten yards to go, and discusses the strategic implications of these values.

Suggested Citation

  • Virgil Carter & Robert E. Machol, 1971. "Technical Note—Operations Research on Football," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 19(2), pages 541-544, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:19:y:1971:i:2:p:541-544
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.19.2.541
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    Cited by:

    1. Marcella Cartledge & Luke Taylor, 2022. "Incentive pay and decision quality: evidence from NCAA football coaches," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(30), pages 3505-3520, June.
    2. J. Eric Bickel, 2009. "On the Decision to Take a Pitch," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 6(3), pages 186-193, September.
    3. Timothy C. Y. Chan & Craig Fernandes & Martin L. Puterman, 2021. "Points Gained in Football: Using Markov Process-Based Value Functions to Assess Team Performance," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 69(3), pages 877-894, May.
    4. Irwin Greenberg, 1982. "The Role of Deception in Decision Theory," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 26(1), pages 139-156, March.
    5. Sabin R. Paul, 2021. "Estimating player value in American football using plus–minus models," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 17(4), pages 313-364, December.

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