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The Mayekawa Lecture: The Role of Default in Macroeconomics

Author

Listed:
  • Charles A. E. Goodhart

    (Norman Sosnow Professor of Banking and Finance, London School of Economics (E-mail: c.a.goodhart@lse.ac.uk))

  • Dimitrios P. Tsomocos

    (Said Business School, University of Oxford (E-mail: dimitrios.tsomocos@sbs.ox.ac.uk))

Abstract

What is the main limitation of much modern macroeconomic theory, among the failings pointed out by William R. White at the 2010 Mayekawa Lecture? We argue that the main deficiency is a failure to incorporate the possibility of default, including that of banks, into the core of the analysis. With default assumed away, there can be no role for financial intermediaries, for financial disturbances, or even for money. Models incorporating defaults are, however, harder to construct, in part because the representative agent fiction must be abandoned. Moreover, financial crises are hard to predict and to resolve. All of the previously available alternatives for handling failing systemically important financial institutions (SIFIs) are problematical. We end by discussing a variety of current proposals for improving the resolution of failed SIFIs.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles A. E. Goodhart & Dimitrios P. Tsomocos, 2011. "The Mayekawa Lecture: The Role of Default in Macroeconomics," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 29, pages 49-72, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ime:imemes:v:29:y:2011:p:49-72
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    File URL: https://www.imes.boj.or.jp/research/papers/english/me29-4.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Annelise Riles, 2013. "Is New Governance the Ideal Architecture for Global Financial Regulation?," IMES Discussion Paper Series 13-E-01, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    2. Borio, Claudio, 2014. "The financial cycle and macroeconomics: What have we learnt?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 182-198.
    3. Fischer, Thomas & Riedler, Jesper, 2014. "Prices, debt and market structure in an agent-based model of the financial market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 95-120.
    4. Mario Lupoli, 2022. "Deleverage and Defaults in the United Kingdom," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(5), pages 1-58, December.
    5. Ioanna Kokores, 2015. "Lean-Against-the-Wind Monetary Policy: The Post-Crisis Shift in the Literature," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 65(3-4), pages 66-99, july-Dece.
    6. Bennani, T. & Després, M. & Dujardin, M. & Duprey, T. & Kelber, A., 2014. "Macroprudential framework:key questions applied to the French case," Occasional papers 9, Banque de France.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Default; Transversality; Money; Bankruptcy cost; Asset bubbles; Resolution mechanisms;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B40 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - General
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • P10 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - General

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