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Sustained Economic Growth and the Financial System

Author

Listed:
  • Allen, Franklin

    (U PA)

  • Oura, Hiroko

    (U PA)

Abstract

Traditional growth theory does not include financing and suggests that growth will be continuous. In fact, however, growth is often discontinuous. In some periods, there are booms with rapid growth that end in financial crises with low growth for sustained periods. This paper argues that the financial system plays a crucial role in understanding these variations in growth. High growth may require that firms and entrepreneurs take non-diversifiable risks to obtain high returns. This risk taking may lead to high growth but also to frequent crises. Although growth followed by crisis can be beneficial, this is not always the case. When a crisis follows the bursting of a bubble in asset prices, it can have very negative impacts on growth, as in the U.S. Great Depression or in Japan in the 1990s. For sustained growth, policy should be devoted to avoiding bubbles, contagion, and financial fragility.

Suggested Citation

  • Allen, Franklin & Oura, Hiroko, 2004. "Sustained Economic Growth and the Financial System," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 22(S1), pages 95-119, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ime:imemes:v:22:y:2004:i:s1:p:95-119
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    File URL: http://www.imes.boj.or.jp/research/papers/english/me22-s1-6.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Franklin Allen & Jun & Chenying Zhang & Mengxin Zhao, 2012. "China's Financial System: Opportunities and Challenges," NBER Chapters, in: Capitalizing China, pages 63-143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Allen, Franklin & Zhang, Chenying & Qian, Jun & Zhao, Mengxin, 2011. "China's Financial System: Opportunities and Challenges," Working Papers 11-54, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
    3. Allen, Franklin & Gu, Xian & Kowalewski, Oskar, 2012. "Financial crisis, structure and reform," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 2960-2973.
    4. Gidigbi, Matthew, 2019. "Re-examining the link between financial structure and economic growth in Nigeria: An empirical investigation," BizEcons Quarterly, Strides Educational Foundation, vol. 5, pages 3-21.
    5. Bogdan-Narcis Firtescu & Mihaela Onofrei & Eduard Mihai, 2022. "Effects of some insurance variables on sustainable economic growth. Evidence from EU using GMM panel data analysis," Journal of Financial Studies, Institute of Financial Studies, vol. 13(7), pages 71-86, November.
    6. I. Oluwafemi Oni & A. Enisan Akinlo & Elumilade D. Oladepo, 2014. "Impact Of Bank Credit On The Real Sector: Evidence From Nigeria," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 8(3), pages 39-47.
    7. repec:fst:rfsisf:v:7:y:2022:i:13:p:71-86 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Tobechi F. Agbanike & Kevin O. Onwuka & Michael O. Enyoghasim & Solomon S. Ikuemonisan & H. O. R. Ogwuru & Augustine C. Osigwe, 2018. "Seemingly Unrelated Regression Analysis of Bank Lending and Economic Growth in Nigeria," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 260-267.
    9. Abina, Adedigba Praise, 2020. "Sectorial Allocation of Bank Credits and Economic Development in Nigeria," Journal of Contemporary Research in Business, Economics and Finance, Michael Laurence, vol. 2(1), pages 18-28.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • N12 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-
    • N15 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Asia including Middle East
    • N22 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-
    • N25 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - Asia including Middle East
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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