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The expenditure-GDP nexus: evidence from a panel of SAARC 7-countries

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  • Rudra P. Pradhan
  • Tapan P. Bagchi

Abstract

The paper investigates the casual relationship between government expenditure, GDP and exports for Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka for the period between 1960 and 2010. Using cointegration and Granger causality, the results suggest that there exists bidirectional causality between exports and economic growth in India. For Bangladesh, Maldives, Nepal and Pakistan there is unidirectional causality from exports to economic growth. The unidirectional causality from government expenditure to economic growth is found in Bangladesh and Maldives, whereas the reverse causality is found in Bhutan and Pakistan. For Maldives and Sri Lanka Government expenditure causes exports, whereas for Pakistan export causes government expenditure. The panel analysis finally suggests and existence of unidirectional causality from export to government expenditure and from economic growth to government expenditure.

Suggested Citation

  • Rudra P. Pradhan & Tapan P. Bagchi, 2012. "The expenditure-GDP nexus: evidence from a panel of SAARC 7-countries," International Journal of Public Policy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 8(4/5/6), pages 295-307.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijpubp:v:8:y:2012:i:4/5/6:p:295-307
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Arvin, Mak B. & Pradhan, Rudra P. & Nair, Mahendhiran S., 2021. "Are there links between institutional quality, government expenditure, tax revenue and economic growth? Evidence from low-income and lower middle-income countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 468-489.
    2. Benoît LE MAUX & Kristýna DOSTÁLOVÁ & Fabio PADOVANO, 2017. "Ideology and Public Policies: A Quasi-Experimental Test of the Hypothesis that Left-Wing Governments Spend More," Economics Working Paper from Condorcet Center for political Economy at CREM-CNRS 2017-01-ccr, Condorcet Center for political Economy.
    3. Mohd Arshad ANSARI & Faraz KHAN & Manish Kumar SINGH, 2021. "Public expenditure and economic development: New evidence from the BRICS-SAARC-ASEAN region," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(627), S), pages 155-174, Summer.
    4. Saban Nazlioglu & Cagin Karul, 2024. "Testing for Granger causality in heterogeneous panels with cross-sectional dependence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 1541-1579, October.
    5. Benoît Le Maux & Kristýna Dostálová & Fabio Padovano, 2020. "Ideology or voters? A quasi-experimental test of why left-wing governments spend more," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 182(1), pages 17-48, January.
    6. Rezitis, A.N. & Ahammad, S.M., 2015. "Investigating Agricultural Production Relations across Bangladesh, India and Pakistan Using Vector Error Correction and Markov-Switching Models," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 28(1).
    7. Osabuohien-Irabor Osarumwense & Drapkin Igor M., 2023. "Global Outward Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth Across Income Groups: The Mediating Effect of Home Country Institutions," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(2), pages 21582440231, April.

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