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What drives the Russian stock market: world market and political shocks

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  • Anatoly Peresetsky

Abstract

In this paper, we empirically test the dependence of the Russian stock market on the world stock market, world oil prices and Russian political and economic news during the period 2001-2010. We find that oil prices are not significant after 2006, and the Japan stock index is significant over the whole period, since it is the nearest market index in terms of closing time to the Russian stock index. We find that political news like the Yukos arrests or news on the Georgian war have a short-term impact, since there are many other shocks. These factors confirm the structural instability of the Russian financial market.

Suggested Citation

  • Anatoly Peresetsky, 2014. "What drives the Russian stock market: world market and political shocks," International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(1/2), pages 82-95.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijcome:v:4:y:2014:i:1/2:p:82-95
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ankudinov, Andrei & Ibragimov, Rustam & Lebedev, Oleg, 2017. "Extreme movements of the Russian stock market and their consequences for management and economic modeling," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 45, pages 75-92.
    2. S. Ozornov, 2015. "Validity Of Fama And French Model On Rts Index," Review of Business and Economics Studies // Review of Business and Economics Studies, Финансовый Университет // Financial University, vol. 3(4), pages 22-43.
    3. N.N. Natocheeva & V.B. Frolova & T.V. Belyanchikova, 2018. "Model of Assessing the Impact of Factors on Cash Flow Multiplicators," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 2), pages 338-347.
    4. Fantazzini, Dean, 2014. "Editorial for the Special Issue on 'Computational Methods for Russian Economic and Financial Modelling'," MPRA Paper 55430, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. V. Frolova B. & T. Khan F. & В. Фролова Б. & Т. Хань Ф., 2018. "Драйверы стоимости продуктовых розничных компаний на развитых и развивающихся рынках // Cost Drivers for Food Retailers in Developed and Emerging Markets," Экономика. Налоги. Право // Economics, taxes & law, ФГОБУ "Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации" // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 11(6), pages 100-111.
    6. Mirzosaid Sultonov, 2016. "Dynamic conditional correlation and causality relationship among foreign exchange, stock and commodity markets: Evidence from 2014 Russian financial crisis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(2), pages 949-962.
    7. Shanaev, Savva & Ghimire, Binam, 2019. "Is all politics local? Regional political risk in Russia and the panel of stock returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 70-82.

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