Construction of an Ecological Security Pattern Based on the PLUS and MSPA Models: A Case Study of the Fuzhou Metropolitan Area

Amidst the swift progression of urban expansion, transformations in land utilization have become increasingly pronounced, posing significant threats to ecosystem coherence and continuity. Establishing a well-designed ecological security pattern (ESP) framework proves essential for preserving environmental equilibrium and enhancing species diversity. This investigation centers on the Fuzhou urban agglomeration as its primary study zone, employing the patch-oriented land utilization simulation (PLUS) approach to forecast 2030 land cover modifications under environmentally conscious conditions. By integrating morphological spatial configuration assessment (MSPA) with habitat linkage evaluation, critical ecological hubs were pinpointed. Subsequent application of electrical circuit principles alongside the minimal cumulative resistance (MCR) methodology enabled the identification of vital ecological pathways and junctions, culminating in the development of a comprehensive territorial ESP framework. Key findings reveal the subsequent outcomes: (1) the main land use type in the Fuzhou metropolitan area is woodland, which accounts for over 80% of its area, and under the ecological priority scenario for 2030, woodland fragmentation was significantly improved; (2) ecological sources are mainly distributed in the northwest, northeast, and central regions, with their total area proportion increasing to 40.49% by 2030; (3) we constructed 35 ecological corridors and 42 ecological nodes, including 14 key ecological pinch points, 9 potential ecological pinch points, and 4 ecological barrier points; and (4) the final ESP formed the pattern of “three cores, three areas, multiple corridors, and multiple sources,” providing strong support for ecological protection and regional sustainable development in the Fuzhou metropolitan area. In this research, we explore the coupled methods of land use simulation and ecological network construction, offering insights for optimizing ESPs in other rapidly urbanizing areas.