IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v13y2021i17p9689-d624534.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimation of Hydrological Components under Current and Future Climate Scenarios in Guder Catchment, Upper Abbay Basin, Ethiopia, Using the SWAT

Author

Listed:
  • Tewekel Melese Gemechu

    (Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment, Jilin Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Environment, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, China)

  • Hongling Zhao

    (Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment, Jilin Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Environment, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, China)

  • Shanshan Bao

    (Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment, Jilin Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Environment, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, China)

  • Cidan Yangzong

    (Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment, Jilin Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Environment, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, China)

  • Yingying Liu

    (Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment, Jilin Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Environment, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, China)

  • Fengping Li

    (Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment, Jilin Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Environment, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, China)

  • Hongyan Li

    (Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment, Jilin Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Environment, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, China)

Abstract

Changes in hydrological cycles and water resources will certainly be a direct consequence of climate change, making the forecast of hydrological components essential for water resource assessment and management. This research was thus carried out to estimate water balance components and water yield under current and future climate change scenarios and trends in the Guder Catchment of the Upper Blue Nile, Ethiopia, using the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT). Hydrological modeling was efficaciously calibrated and validated using the SUFI-2 algorithm of the SWAT model. The results showed that water yield varied from 926 mm to 1340 mm per year (1986–2016). Regional climate model (RCM) data showed, under representative concentration pathways (RCP 8.5), that the precipitation will decrease by up to 14.4% relative to the baseline (1986–2016) precipitation of 1228 mm/year, while the air temperature will rise under RCP 8.5 by +4.4 °C in the period from 2057 to 2086, possibly reducing the future basin water yield output, suggesting that the RCP 8.5 prediction will be warmer than RCP 4.5. Under RCP 8.5, the total water yield from 2024 to 2086 may be reduced by 3.2 mm per year, and a significant trend was observed. Local government agencies can arrange projects to solve community water-related issues based on these findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Tewekel Melese Gemechu & Hongling Zhao & Shanshan Bao & Cidan Yangzong & Yingying Liu & Fengping Li & Hongyan Li, 2021. "Estimation of Hydrological Components under Current and Future Climate Scenarios in Guder Catchment, Upper Abbay Basin, Ethiopia, Using the SWAT," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-19, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:17:p:9689-:d:624534
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/17/9689/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/17/9689/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Junfang Liu & Baolin Xue & Yuhui Yan, 2020. "The Assessment of Climate Change and Land-Use Influences on the Runoff of a Typical Coastal Basin in Northern China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-13, December.
    2. Aouissi, Jalel & Benabdallah, Sihem & Lili Chabaâne, Zohra & Cudennec, Christophe, 2016. "Evaluation of potential evapotranspiration assessment methods for hydrological modelling with SWAT—Application in data-scarce rural Tunisia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 39-51.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tudose, Nicu Constantin & Cheval, Sorin & Ungurean, Cezar & Broekman, Annelies & Sanchez-Plaza, Anabel & Cremades, Roger & Mitter, Hermine & Kropf, Bernadette & Davidescu, Serban Octavian & Dinca, Luc, 2022. "Climate services for sustainable resource management: The water—energy—land nexus in the Tărlung river basin (Romania)," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sangchul Lee & Junyu Qi & Hyunglok Kim & Gregory W. McCarty & Glenn E. Moglen & Martha Anderson & Xuesong Zhang & Ling Du, 2021. "Utility of Remotely Sensed Evapotranspiration Products to Assess an Improved Model Structure," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-18, February.
    2. Tadesse, Haile K. & Moriasi, Daniel N. & Gowda, Prasanna H. & Marek, Gary & Steiner, Jean L. & Brauer, David & Talebizadeh, Mansour & Nelson, Amanda & Starks, Patrick, 2018. "Evaluating evapotranspiration estimation methods in APEX model for dryland cropping systems in a semi-arid region," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 217-228.
    3. Yesen Liu & Yaohuan Huang & Jinhong Wan & Zhenshan Yang & Xiaolei Zhang, 2020. "Analysis of Human Activity Impact on Flash Floods in China from 1950 to 2015," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    4. Yuk San Liew & Safari Mat Desa & Md. Nasir Md. Noh & Mou Leong Tan & Nor Azazi Zakaria & Chun Kiat Chang, 2021. "Assessing the Effectiveness of Mitigation Strategies for Flood Risk Reduction in the Segamat River Basin, Malaysia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-23, March.
    5. Byungwoong Choi & Seung Se Choi, 2021. "Integrated Hydraulic Modelling, Water Quality Modelling and Habitat Assessment for Sustainable Water Management: A Case Study of the Anyang-Cheon Stream, Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-16, April.
    6. Malakshahi, Amir- Ashkan & Darzi- Naftchali, Abdullah & Mohseni, Behrooz, 2020. "Analyzing water table depth fluctuation response to evapotranspiration involving DRAINMOD model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:17:p:9689-:d:624534. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.