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Levee Overtopping Risk Assessment under Climate Change Scenario in Kao-Ping River, Taiwan

Author

Listed:
  • Hsiao-Ping Wei

    (National Science and Technology Center for Disaster Reduction, New Taipei City 23143, Taiwan)

  • Yuan-Fong Su

    (National Science and Technology Center for Disaster Reduction, New Taipei City 23143, Taiwan)

  • Chao-Tzuen Cheng

    (National Science and Technology Center for Disaster Reduction, New Taipei City 23143, Taiwan)

  • Keh-Chia Yeh

    (Department of Civil Engineering, National Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu 30010, Taiwan)

Abstract

With the growing concern about the failure risk of river embankments in a rapidly changing climate, this study aims to quantify the overtopping probability of river embankment in Kao-Ping River basin in southern Taiwan. A water level simulation model is calibrated and validated with historical typhoon events and the calibrated model is further used to assess overtopping risk in the future under a climate change scenario. A dynamic downscaled projection dataset, provided by Meteorological Research Institute (MRI) has been further downscaled to 5-km grids and bias-corrected with a quantile mapping method, is used to simulate the water level of Kao-Ping River in the future. Our results highlighted that the overtopping risk of Kao-Ping River increased by a factor of 5.7~8.0 by the end of the 21st century.

Suggested Citation

  • Hsiao-Ping Wei & Yuan-Fong Su & Chao-Tzuen Cheng & Keh-Chia Yeh, 2020. "Levee Overtopping Risk Assessment under Climate Change Scenario in Kao-Ping River, Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-12, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:11:p:4511-:d:366339
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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