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Quantifying the Effect of Land Use Change and Climate Variability on Green Water Resources in the Xihe River Basin, Northeast China

Author

Listed:
  • Leting Lyu

    (College of Urban and Environment, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China)

  • Xiaorui Wang

    (College of Urban and Environment, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China)

  • Caizhi Sun

    (College of Urban and Environment, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China)

  • Tiantian Ren

    (College of Urban and Environment, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China)

  • Defeng Zheng

    (College of Urban and Environment, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China)

Abstract

Based on a land use interpretation and distributed hydrological model, soil and water assessment tool (SWAT), this study simulated the hydrological cycle in Xihe River Basin in northern China. In addition, the influence of climate variability and land use change on green water resources in the basin from 1995 to 2015 was analyzed. The results show that (1) The E NS (Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient) and R 2 (coefficient of determination) were 0.94 and 0.89, respectively, in the calibration period, and 0.89 and 0.88, respectively, in the validation period. These indicate high simulation accuracy; (2) Changes in green water flow and green water storage due to climate variability accounted for increases of 2.07 mm/a and 1.28 mm/a, respectively. The relative change rates were 0.49% and 0.9%, respectively, and the green water coefficient decreased by 1%; (3) Changes in green water flow and green water storage due to land use change accounted for increases of 69.15 mm and 48.82 mm, respectively. The relative change rates were 16.4% and 37.2%, respectively, and the green water coefficient increased by 10%; (4) Affected by both climate variability and land use change, green water resources increased by 121.3 mm and the green water coefficient increased by 9% in the Xihe River Basin. It is noteworthy that the influence of land use change was greater than that of climate variability.

Suggested Citation

  • Leting Lyu & Xiaorui Wang & Caizhi Sun & Tiantian Ren & Defeng Zheng, 2019. "Quantifying the Effect of Land Use Change and Climate Variability on Green Water Resources in the Xihe River Basin, Northeast China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-14, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:2:p:338-:d:196747
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Javier Senent-Aparicio & Sitian Liu & Julio Pérez-Sánchez & Adrián López-Ballesteros & Patricia Jimeno-Sáez, 2018. "Assessing Impacts of Climate Variability and Reforestation Activities on Water Resources in the Headwaters of the Segura River Basin (SE Spain)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-13, September.
    2. Xingming Hao & Yaning Chen & Changchun Xu & Weihong Li, 2008. "Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on the Surface Runoff in the Tarim River Basin over the Last Fifty Years," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(9), pages 1159-1171, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Junchao Jiang & Leting Lyu & Yuechi Han & Caizhi Sun, 2021. "Effect of Climate Variability on Green and Blue Water Resources in a Temperate Monsoon Watershed, Northeastern China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-13, February.

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