IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jrisks/v11y2023i7p115-d1176469.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Correlation Pitfalls with ChatGPT: Would You Fall for Them?

Author

Listed:
  • Marius Hofert

    (Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China)

Abstract

This paper presents an intellectual exchange with ChatGPT, an artificial intelligence chatbot, about correlation pitfalls in risk management. The exchange takes place in the form of a conversation that provides ChatGPT with context. The purpose of this conversation is to evaluate ChatGPT’s understanding of correlation pitfalls, to offer readers an engaging alternative for learning about them, but also to identify related risks. Our findings indicate that ChatGPT possesses solid knowledge of basic and mostly non-technical aspects of the topic, but falls short in terms of the mathematical rigor needed to avoid certain pitfalls or completely comprehend the underlying concepts. Nonetheless, we suggest ways in which ChatGPT can be utilized to enhance one’s own learning process.

Suggested Citation

  • Marius Hofert, 2023. "Correlation Pitfalls with ChatGPT: Would You Fall for Them?," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-17, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:11:y:2023:i:7:p:115-:d:1176469
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/11/7/115/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/11/7/115/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alejandro Lopez-Lira & Yuehua Tang, 2023. "Can ChatGPT Forecast Stock Price Movements? Return Predictability and Large Language Models," Papers 2304.07619, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    2. Alexander J. McNeil & Rüdiger Frey & Paul Embrechts, 2015. "Quantitative Risk Management: Concepts, Techniques and Tools Revised edition," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 2, number 10496.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Marius Hofert, 2023. "Assessing ChatGPT’s Proficiency in Quantitative Risk Management," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-29, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Abduraimova, Kumushoy, 2022. "Contagion and tail risk in complex financial networks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    2. Masahiko Egami & Rusudan Kevkhishvili, 2020. "Time reversal and last passage time of diffusions with applications to credit risk management," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 795-825, July.
    3. Avanzi, Benjamin & Taylor, Greg & Wong, Bernard & Yang, Xinda, 2021. "On the modelling of multivariate counts with Cox processes and dependent shot noise intensities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 9-24.
    4. Pfeifer Dietmar & Mändle Andreas & Ragulina Olena, 2017. "New copulas based on general partitions-of-unity and their applications to risk management (part II)," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 246-255, October.
    5. Makam, Vaishno Devi & Millossovich, Pietro & Tsanakas, Andreas, 2021. "Sensitivity analysis with χ2-divergences," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 372-383.
    6. Nevrla, Matěj, 2020. "Systemic risk in European financial and energy sectors: Dynamic factor copula approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    7. H. Kaibuchi & Y. Kawasaki & G. Stupfler, 2022. "GARCH-UGH: a bias-reduced approach for dynamic extreme Value-at-Risk estimation in financial time series," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(7), pages 1277-1294, July.
    8. Battulga Gankhuu, 2022. "Merton's Default Risk Model for Private Company," Papers 2208.01974, arXiv.org.
    9. Stephan Schlüter & Fabian Menz & Milena Kojić & Petar Mitić & Aida Hanić, 2022. "A Novel Approach to Generate Hourly Photovoltaic Power Scenarios," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-16, April.
    10. Borowska, Agnieszka & Hoogerheide, Lennart & Koopman, Siem Jan & van Dijk, Herman K., 2020. "Partially censored posterior for robust and efficient risk evaluation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 335-355.
    11. Dietmar Pfeifer & Olena Ragulina, 2018. "Generating VaR Scenarios under Solvency II with Product Beta Distributions," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-15, October.
    12. E. Ramos-P'erez & P. J. Alonso-Gonz'alez & J. J. N'u~nez-Vel'azquez, 2020. "Forecasting volatility with a stacked model based on a hybridized Artificial Neural Network," Papers 2006.16383, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    13. Paolo Gorgi & Siem Jan Koopman, 2020. "Beta observation-driven models with exogenous regressors: a joint analysis of realized correlation and leverage effects," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 20-004/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    14. Dimitris Bertsimas & Agni Orfanoudaki, 2021. "Algorithmic Insurance," Papers 2106.00839, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    15. Xuehai Zhang, 2019. "Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall under General Semi-parametric GARCH models," Working Papers CIE 123, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
    16. Paolo Vanini & Sebastiano Rossi & Ermin Zvizdic & Thomas Domenig, 2023. "Online payment fraud: from anomaly detection to risk management," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-25, December.
    17. Claudia Ceci & Katia Colaneri & Rdiger Frey & Verena Kock, 2019. "Value adjustments and dynamic hedging of reinsurance counterparty risk," Papers 1909.04354, arXiv.org.
    18. Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang, 2023. "Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    19. Venter, Pierre J & Maré, Eben, 2022. "Price discovery in the volatility index option market: A univariate GARCH approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    20. Takaaki Koike & Cathy W. S. Chen & Edward M. H. Lin, 2024. "Forecasting and Backtesting Gradient Allocations of Expected Shortfall," Papers 2401.11701, arXiv.org.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:11:y:2023:i:7:p:115-:d:1176469. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.