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Hydrological Model Performance in the Verde River Basin, Minas Gerais, Brazil

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  • Conceição de M. M. de Oliveira

    (Department of Water Resources, Federal University of Lavras, Lavras 37200-000, Brazil
    Department of Agricultural Engineering, State University of Maranhão, Cidade Universitária Paulo VI., São Luis 65055-310, Brazil)

  • Lívia A. Alvarenga

    (Department of Water Resources, Federal University of Lavras, Lavras 37200-000, Brazil)

  • Samuel Beskow

    (Center for Technological Development/Water Resources Engineering, Federal University of Pelotas, Pelotas 96010-610, Brazil)

  • Zandra Almeida da Cunha

    (Center for Technological Development/Water Resources Engineering, Federal University of Pelotas, Pelotas 96010-610, Brazil)

  • Marcelle Martins Vargas

    (Center for Technological Development/Water Resources Engineering, Federal University of Pelotas, Pelotas 96010-610, Brazil)

  • Pâmela A. Melo

    (Department of Water Resources, Federal University of Lavras, Lavras 37200-000, Brazil)

  • Javier Tomasella

    (National Institute for Space Research (INPE), National Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters (CEMADEN), Postal Code 01, Cachoeira Paulista 12630-970, Brazil)

  • Ana Carolina N. Santos

    (National Institute for Space Research (INPE), National Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters (CEMADEN), Postal Code 01, Cachoeira Paulista 12630-970, Brazil)

  • Vinicius S. O. Carvalho

    (Institute of Natural Resources, Federal University of Itajubá, Itajubá 37500-903, Brazil)

  • Vinicius Oliveira Silva

    (Department of Water Resources, Federal University of Lavras, Lavras 37200-000, Brazil)

Abstract

In hydrological modelling, it is important to consider the uncertainties related to a model’s structures and parameters when different hydrological models are used to represent a system. Therefore, an adequate analysis of daily discharge forecasts that takes into account the performance of hydrological models can assist in identifying the best extreme discharge forecasts. In this context, this study aims to evaluate the performance of three hydrological models—Lavras Simulation of Hydrology (LASH), Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC), and Distributed Hydrological Model (MHD-INPE) in the Verde River basin. The results demonstrate that LASH and MHD can accurately simulate discharges, thereby establishing them as crucial tools for managing water resources in the study region’s basins. Moreover, these findings could serve as a cornerstone for future studies focusing on food and water security, particularly when examining their connection to climate change scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Conceição de M. M. de Oliveira & Lívia A. Alvarenga & Samuel Beskow & Zandra Almeida da Cunha & Marcelle Martins Vargas & Pâmela A. Melo & Javier Tomasella & Ana Carolina N. Santos & Vinicius S. O. Ca, 2023. "Hydrological Model Performance in the Verde River Basin, Minas Gerais, Brazil," Resources, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-13, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jresou:v:12:y:2023:i:8:p:87-:d:1205264
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. J. Júnior & J. Tomasella & D. Rodriguez, 2015. "Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 129(1), pages 117-129, March.
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