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A Comprehensive Analysis of Chinese, Japanese, Korean, US-PIMA Indian, and Trinidadian Screening Scores for Diabetes Risk Assessment and Prediction

Author

Listed:
  • Norma Latif Fitriyani

    (Department of Data Science, Sejong University, Seoul 05006, Korea)

  • Muhammad Syafrudin

    (Department of Artificial Intelligence, Sejong University, Seoul 05006, Korea)

  • Siti Maghfirotul Ulyah

    (Department of Mathematics, Khalifa University, Abu Dhabi 127788, United Arab Emirates
    Department of Mathematics, Airlangga University, Surabaya 60115, Indonesia)

  • Ganjar Alfian

    (Department of Electrical Engineering and Informatics, Vocational College, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta 55281, Indonesia)

  • Syifa Latif Qolbiyani

    (Department of Community Development, Universitas Sebelas Maret, Surakarta 57126, Indonesia)

  • Muhammad Anshari

    (School of Business & Economics, Universiti Brunei Darussalam, Bandar Seri Begawan BE1410, Brunei)

Abstract

Risk assessment and developing predictive models for diabetes prevention is considered an important task. Therefore, we proposed to analyze and provide a comprehensive analysis of the performance of diabetes screening scores for risk assessment and prediction in five populations: the Chinese, Japanese, Korean, US-PIMA Indian, and Trinidadian populations, utilizing statistical and machine learning (ML) methods. Additionally, due to the present COVID-19 epidemic, it is necessary to investigate how diabetes and COVID-19 are related to one another. Thus, by using a sample of the Korean population, the interrelationship between diabetes and COVID-19 was further investigated. The results revealed that by using a statistical method, the optimal cut points among Chinese, Japanese, Korean, US-PIMA Indian, and Trinidadian populations were 6.205 mmol/L (FPG), 5.523 mmol/L (FPG), and 5.375% (HbA1c), 150.50–106.50 mg/dL (FBS), 123.50 mg/dL (2hPG), and 107.50 mg/dL (FBG), respectively, with AUC scores of 0.97, 0.80, 0.78, 0.85, 0.79, and 0.905. The results also confirmed that diabetes has a significant relationship with COVID-19 in the Korean population ( p -value 0.001), with an adjusted OR of 1.21. Finally, the overall best ML models were performed by Naïve Bayes with AUC scores of 0.736, 0.75, and 0.83 in the Japanese, Korean, and Trinidadian populations, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Norma Latif Fitriyani & Muhammad Syafrudin & Siti Maghfirotul Ulyah & Ganjar Alfian & Syifa Latif Qolbiyani & Muhammad Anshari, 2022. "A Comprehensive Analysis of Chinese, Japanese, Korean, US-PIMA Indian, and Trinidadian Screening Scores for Diabetes Risk Assessment and Prediction," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(21), pages 1-23, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:10:y:2022:i:21:p:4027-:d:957880
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ram D. Joshi & Chandra K. Dhakal, 2021. "Predicting Type 2 Diabetes Using Logistic Regression and Machine Learning Approaches," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(14), pages 1-17, July.
    2. Ganjar Alfian & Muhammad Syafrudin & Norma Latif Fitriyani & Muhammad Anshari & Pavel Stasa & Jiri Svub & Jongtae Rhee, 2020. "Deep Neural Network for Predicting Diabetic Retinopathy from Risk Factors," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-19, September.
    3. Shugang Li & Shuxia Guo & Fei He & Mei Zhang & Jia He & Yizhong Yan & Yusong Ding & Jingyu Zhang & Jiaming Liu & Heng Guo & Shangzhi Xu & Rulin Ma, 2015. "Prevalence of Diabetes Mellitus and Impaired Fasting Glucose, Associated with Risk Factors in Rural Kazakh Adults in Xinjiang, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, January.
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    1. Norma Latif Fitriyani & Muhammad Syafrudin & Siti Maghfirotul Ulyah & Ganjar Alfian & Syifa Latif Qolbiyani & Chuan-Kai Yang & Jongtae Rhee & Muhammad Anshari, 2023. "Performance Analysis and Assessment of Type 2 Diabetes Screening Scores in Patients with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-25, May.

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