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Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Scenario Insights into Spatial Responses and Promotion Under Ecosystem Services

Author

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  • Jingya Liu

    (Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    Key Laboratory of Coastal Science and Integrated Management, Ministry of Natural Resources, Qingdao 266061, China
    University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Keyu Qin

    (Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    Key Laboratory of Coastal Science and Integrated Management, Ministry of Natural Resources, Qingdao 266061, China
    University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Yu Xiao

    (Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    Key Laboratory of Coastal Science and Integrated Management, Ministry of Natural Resources, Qingdao 266061, China
    University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Gaodi Xie

    (Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    Key Laboratory of Coastal Science and Integrated Management, Ministry of Natural Resources, Qingdao 266061, China
    University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

Abstract

The Blue Economic Zone of the Shandong Peninsula is located in the transitional zone between land and sea, with a complex ecological environment. The determination of hot and cold spots in various ecosystem services is crucial for the coordinated development of ecosystem services and the optimization of the spatial pattern of the ecological environment. This study, based on natural and socio-economic data, utilizes various ecological models to simulate water yield (provisioning service), carbon sequestration (regulating service), biodiversity (supporting service), and aesthetic and scientific research values (cultural service). Using a multi-criteria decision-making approach, it identifies hot and cold spots of ecosystem services in different development–conservation scenarios. Combining the protection efficiency of different areas, it proposes a spatial pattern promotion scheme. The research indicates significant spatial differences in ecosystem services without clear trade-offs and synergies. Changes in the weights of ecosystem services in 11 scenarios result in significant differences in hot and cold spots. Compared to the neutral scenario (S6), the distribution of hot and cold spots in protection scenarios (S1–S5) is relatively scattered, while in development scenarios (S7–S11), hot spots show an increasing trend of concentration in the southeast, with cold spots scattered in the west and northwest. Four spatial pattern promotion schemes are proposed based on protection efficiency and policy preferences. Promotion areas should focus on ecological restoration and improvement to raise local ecosystem service levels. Protection areas should emphasize maintaining their existing high-level ecosystem services to achieve a synergistic enhancement of various ecosystem services.

Suggested Citation

  • Jingya Liu & Keyu Qin & Yu Xiao & Gaodi Xie, 2024. "Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Scenario Insights into Spatial Responses and Promotion Under Ecosystem Services," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-15, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:13:y:2024:i:11:p:1964-:d:1525222
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Keyu Qin & Jing Li & Xiaonan Yang, 2015. "Trade-Off and Synergy among Ecosystem Services in the Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Region of China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-20, November.
    2. Malinga, Rebecka & Gordon, Line J. & Jewitt, Graham & Lindborg, Regina, 2015. "Mapping ecosystem services across scales and continents – A review," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 57-63.
    3. Xinyu Yan & Muyi Huang & Yuru Tang & Qin Guo & Xue Wu & Guozhao Zhang, 2024. "Study on the Dynamic Change of Land Use in Megacities and Its Impact on Ecosystem Services and Modeling Prediction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-28, June.
    4. Spanò, Marinella & Leronni, Vincenzo & Lafortezza, Raffaele & Gentile, Francesco, 2017. "Are ecosystem service hotspots located in protected areas? Results from a study in Southern Italy," Environmental Science & Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 52-60.
    5. Gómez-Baggethun, Erik & Barton, David N., 2013. "Classifying and valuing ecosystem services for urban planning," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 235-245.
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