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Tripartite Evolutionary Game and Policy Simulation: Strategic Governance in the Redevelopment of the Urban Village in Guangzhou

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  • Dinghuan Yuan

    (School of Public Administration and Emergency Management, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China)

  • Jiaxin Li

    (School of Intelligent Systems Science and Engineering, Jinan University, Zhuhai 519070, China)

  • Qiuxiang Li

    (School of Public Administration, Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics, Hangzhou 310018, China)

  • Yang Fu

    (Department of Public Administration, School of Government, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen 518000, China)

Abstract

The scarcity of land drives urban village redevelopment projects, which involve interest redistribution among stakeholders with distinct demands. This paper utilizes evolutionary game theory and simulation methods, constructing a tripartite game model under the institutional arrangement of bottom-up with private developer funding. This study identifies the stable strategies and evolutionary trends of the tripartite interactions under four distinct scenarios and validates these strategies through simulations. The redevelopment of XC village validates the assumptions of the model and theoretical analysis, suggesting that when private developers adopt forced demolition strategies, although villagers ultimately choose to sign the contract of property exchange, it can easily lead to social conflicts. These research findings can enlighten the government to form a tripartite alliance to smooth urban village redevelopment.

Suggested Citation

  • Dinghuan Yuan & Jiaxin Li & Qiuxiang Li & Yang Fu, 2024. "Tripartite Evolutionary Game and Policy Simulation: Strategic Governance in the Redevelopment of the Urban Village in Guangzhou," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-21, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:13:y:2024:i:11:p:1867-:d:1516973
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yuan, Dinghuan & Yau, Yung & Bao, Haijun & Lin, Wenyi, 2020. "A Framework for Understanding the Institutional Arrangements of Urban Village Redevelopment Projects in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
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    4. Hu, Zhenhua & Song, Gaohui & Hu, Ziyue & Fang, Jiaqi, 2024. "An improved dynamic game analysis of farmers, enterprises and rural collective economic organizations based on idle land reuse policy," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    5. Yingxin Chen & Jing Zhang & Pandu R. Tadikamalla & Xutong Gao, 2019. "The Relationship among Government, Enterprise, and Public in Environmental Governance from the Perspective of Multi-Player Evolutionary Game," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-17, September.
    6. Xiang Li & Sun Sheng Han & Hao Wu, 2019. "Urban consolidation, power relations, and dilapidated residential redevelopment in Mutoulong, Shenzhen, China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 56(13), pages 2802-2819, October.
    7. Dror Kochan, 2015. "Placing the Urban Village: A Spatial Perspective on the Development Process of Urban Villages in Contemporary China," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(5), pages 927-947, September.
    8. Lai, Yani & Tang, Bosin & Chen, Xiangsheng & Zheng, Xian, 2021. "Spatial determinants of land redevelopment in the urban renewal processes in Shenzhen, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    9. Chen, Yang & Zhang, Xiaoling & Chau, K.W. & Yang, Linchuan, 2022. "How the institutional change in urban redevelopment affects the duration of land redevelopment approval in China?," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    10. Dinghuan Yuan & Yung Yau & Huiying (Cynthia) Hou & Yongshen Liu, 2021. "Factors Influencing the Project Duration of Urban Village Redevelopment in Contemporary China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-24, July.
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