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Spatial and Temporal Evolution and Prediction of the Coordination Level of “Production-Living-Ecological” Function Coupling in the Yellow River Basin, China

Author

Listed:
  • Yunhui Zhang

    (School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China)

  • Zhong Wang

    (School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China
    Key Laboratory of Rule of Law Research, Ministry of Natural Resources, Wuhan 430074, China)

  • Shougeng Hu

    (School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China)

  • Ziying Song

    (School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China)

  • Xiaoguang Cui

    (School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China)

  • Dennis Afriyie

    (School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China)

Abstract

To clarify the evolution of “production-living-ecological” function coupling in the Yellow River Basin, coordinating the spatial allocation of resources, development management and layout optimization, is an important means for achieving ecological protection and high-quality development in the region. In this paper, we conducted an empirical analysis and ARIMA prediction of the coupled production-living-ecological function coordination level in the Yellow River Basin of China from 2008 to 2018, and found that: (1) In terms of temporal evolution, the production-living-ecological function and coupling coordination level of each province and region in the Yellow River Basin generally shows a sharp and then slow upward trend, with the living functions changing more than the production and ecological functions; (2) in terms of spatial pattern, the production and living functions of each province and region show the trend of functional level increasing from east to west over time; the ecological functions, contrary to production and living functions, show a “high-low” aggregation, midstream shows “low-low” aggregation, and downstream shows “low-high” aggregation; (3) According to the regression results of the spatial Dubin model, the environmental governance level, technological research and development level, and social security level and resource dependence degree have positive promoting and spillover effects on the coupling coordination level of the “production-living-ecological” function in the region. However, population density and carbon emission intensity will hinder the development of regional coupling coordination level; (4) from the ARIMA prediction, the coupling coordination level of “production-living-ecological” in the Yellow River Basin continues the development trend of 2008–2018 in the short term, the overall coordination level is at a high level, and the variability of coupling coordination level among provinces and regions is further reduced. Finally, corresponding development countermeasures and suggestions are given to different provinces and regions based on the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics, influencing factors and development trend of the “production-living-ecological” function in the Yellow River basin.

Suggested Citation

  • Yunhui Zhang & Zhong Wang & Shougeng Hu & Ziying Song & Xiaoguang Cui & Dennis Afriyie, 2022. "Spatial and Temporal Evolution and Prediction of the Coordination Level of “Production-Living-Ecological” Function Coupling in the Yellow River Basin, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(21), pages 1-22, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:21:p:14530-:d:964314
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zehui Chen & Qianxi Zhang & Fei Li & Jinli Shi, 2021. "Comprehensive Evaluation of Land Use Benefit in the Yellow River Basin from 1995 to 2018," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-22, June.
    2. Durrant, Rachael & Ely, Adrian, 2022. "Deliberative-analytic approaches to Ecosystem Services as a way forward for the land sparing/sharing debate," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    3. Haiyang Shang & Jiaojiao Fan & Bingjie Fan & Fang Su, 2022. "Economic Effects of Ecological Compensation Policy in Shiyang River Basin: Empirical Research Based on DID and RDD Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-28, March.
    4. Ying Li & Suiliang Huang, 2015. "Landscape Ecological Risk Responses to Land Use Change in the Luanhe River Basin, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(12), pages 1-22, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Cong Tian, 2024. "Decoupling Characteristics between Coupling Coordination Degree of Production-Living-Ecological Function and Carbon Emissions in the Urban Agglomeration of the Shandong Peninsula," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-22, July.

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