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Preparing for the Next Wave of COVID-19: Resilience in the Face of a Spreading Pandemic

Author

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  • Gerald Steiner

    (Department of Knowledge and Communication Management, Faculty of Business and Globalization, Danube University Krems, 3500 Krems an der Donau, Austria
    Complexity Science Hub Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria
    All authors contributed equally.)

  • Lukas Zenk

    (Department of Knowledge and Communication Management, Faculty of Business and Globalization, Danube University Krems, 3500 Krems an der Donau, Austria
    All authors contributed equally.)

  • Eva Schernhammer

    (Complexity Science Hub Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria
    Department of Epidemiology, Center for Public Health, Medical University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria
    Channing Division of Network Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02115, USA
    All authors contributed equally.)

Abstract

COVID-19 painfully demonstrates how little resilience our societies have to novel viruses. Societies, decision makers, and scientists lack (1) a comprehensive understanding of the complexity of viral outbreaks and their impact on society; (2) intervention portfolios; and (3) a global crisis and resilience policy, all of which are required to develop appropriate measures and to improve societal resilience. We highlight COVID-19 immunity as one key benchmark in preparation for the next wave of the pandemic. Specifically, using network scenarios, we demonstrate the substantial advantage of reintegrating health care workers with acquired COVID-19 immunity in epidemic hotspots, which would not only enable their safe contribution to the health care system but also drastically contain further spread.

Suggested Citation

  • Gerald Steiner & Lukas Zenk & Eva Schernhammer, 2020. "Preparing for the Next Wave of COVID-19: Resilience in the Face of a Spreading Pandemic," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-6, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:11:p:4098-:d:368883
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gerald Steiner, 2018. "From probabilistic functionalism to a mental simulation of innovation: by collaboration from vulnerabilities to resilient societal systems," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 38(1), pages 92-98, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lukas Zenk & Gerald Steiner & Miguel Pina e Cunha & Manfred D. Laubichler & Martin Bertau & Martin J. Kainz & Carlo Jäger & Eva S. Schernhammer, 2020. "Fast Response to Superspreading: Uncertainty and Complexity in the Context of COVID-19," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-13, October.

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