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Machine Learning Approach for Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Deep Neural Network

Author

Listed:
  • Majed A. Alotaibi

    (Department of Electrical Engineering, College of Engineering, King Saud University, Riyadh 11421, Saudi Arabia
    K.A.CARE Energy Research and Innovation Center at Riyadh, Riyadh 11451, Saudi Arabia
    Saudi Electricity Company Chair in Power System Reliability and Security, King Saud University, Riyadh 11421, Saudi Arabia)

Abstract

Power system demand forecasting is a crucial task in the power system engineering field. This is due to the fact that most system planning and operation activities basically rely on proper forecasting models. Entire power infrastructures are built essentially to provide and serve the consumption of energy. Therefore, it is very necessary to construct robust and efficient predictive models in order to provide accurate load forecasting. In this paper, three techniques are utilized for short-term load forecasting. These techniques are deep neural network (DNN), multilayer perceptron-based artificial neural network (ANN), and decision tree-based prediction (DR). New predictive variables are included to enhance the overall forecasting and handle the difficulties caused by some categorical predictors. The comparison among these three techniques is executed based on coefficients of determination R 2 and mean absolute error (MAE). Statistical tests are performed in order to verify the results and examine whether these models are statistically different or not. The results reveal that the DNN model outperformed the other models and was statistically different from them.

Suggested Citation

  • Majed A. Alotaibi, 2022. "Machine Learning Approach for Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Deep Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-23, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:17:p:6261-:d:899700
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. John O’Donnell & Wencong Su, 2023. "Attention-Focused Machine Learning Method to Provide the Stochastic Load Forecasts Needed by Electric Utilities for the Evolving Electrical Distribution System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-21, July.
    2. Sepehr Moalem & Roya M. Ahari & Ghazanfar Shahgholian & Majid Moazzami & Seyed Mohammad Kazemi, 2022. "Long-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting in the Steel Complex Micro-Grid Electricity Supply Chain—A Coupled Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-17, October.
    3. Hany Habbak & Mohamed Mahmoud & Khaled Metwally & Mostafa M. Fouda & Mohamed I. Ibrahem, 2023. "Load Forecasting Techniques and Their Applications in Smart Grids," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-33, February.
    4. Hongmei Cui & Zhongyang Li & Bingchuan Sun & Teng Fan & Yonghao Li & Lida Luo & Yong Zhang & Jian Wang, 2022. "A New Ice Quality Prediction Method of Wind Turbine Impeller Based on the Deep Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-18, November.

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