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Russia's Financial Markets Development Forecast till 2020


  • Àlexey Vedev

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy)

  • Yuri Danilov

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy)


Issue is devoted to an actual problem to which is still given not enough attention – a problem of long-term forecasting of national financial sector as a component of an economic complex. Problems of a forecast of development of the financial markets coordination with economic development of the country, on the one hand, and with a forecast of development of the global financial market, on the other hand are considered. Balances of the major financial instruments and institutional balances of the main sectors the economy in aggregate forming complex financial balance of the country are constructed in paper. On this basis the forecast of development of the financial markets for the period till 2020, based on assumptions of the balanced scenario is created. Besides, possibilities and transition conditions to higher growth rates of the financial market under assumption of stability are defined.

Suggested Citation

  • Àlexey Vedev & Yuri Danilov, 2012. "Russia's Financial Markets Development Forecast till 2020," Research Paper Series, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 160P.
  • Handle: RePEc:gai:rpaper:66

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Nagai, Tatsuzo & Kawasaki, Kyozi, 1983. "Molecular dynamics of interacting kinks. I," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 120(3), pages 587-599.
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    More about this item


    long-term forecasting ; national financial sector; financial markets;

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination


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