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Has Covid-19 been a “reallocation recession”?

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Abstract

To answer the question in the title: Thus far, not dramatically so. In this Chicago Fed Letter, I document three facts supporting this conclusion. First, although the Covid period has seen multiple months with high rates of worker movement (reallocation) across industry sectors (relative to previous recessions), net cumulative reallocation from the onset of the pandemic through December 2020 is only the third highest among post-1945 recessions over the same horizon (and is only modestly outside the confidence bound for the average across those recessions). Thus, much of the reallocation during Covid seems to have been a reversion toward the pre-crisis allocation following the highly dispersed initial impact of the virus.

Suggested Citation

  • Joel M. David, 2021. "Has Covid-19 been a “reallocation recession”?," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue 452, pages 1-8, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhle:92311
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    File URL: https://www.chicagofed.org/~/media/publications/chicago-fed-letter/2021/cfl452-pdf.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Niels Gillmann & Andreas Maas & Antje Weyh, 2023. "Berufliche Mobilität vor und während der Corona-Pandemie," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 30(01), pages 03-10, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Reallocation; unemployment; Covid-19; Employment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • J65 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment Insurance; Severance Pay; Plant Closings

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