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Quantitative vs. Qualitative Criteria for Credit Risk Assessment

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  • João O. Soares, Joaquim P. Pina, Manuel S. Ribeiro, Margarida Catalão-Lopes

    () (Technical University of Lisbon, Portugal)

Abstract

The existing vast literature on credit risk assessment and default prediction provides models building mostly in quantitative indicators. We present the results of a survey carried out of experts from the main banks in Portugal, conveying evidence on the dominant procedures undertaken by the Portuguese banking system. Our analysis concludes on the relevance of qualitative criteria, particularly management’s experience and reliability, and on their significant negative correlation with banks’ default records. Within this context the paper reflects on the role of multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) models as a way to process credit risk assessment integrating qualitative and quantitative aspects.

Suggested Citation

  • João O. Soares, Joaquim P. Pina, Manuel S. Ribeiro, Margarida Catalão-Lopes, 2011. "Quantitative vs. Qualitative Criteria for Credit Risk Assessment," Frontiers in Finance and Economics, SKEMA Business School, vol. 8(1), pages 69-87, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:ffe:journl:v:8:y:2011:i:1:p:69-87
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    Keywords

    banking; credit risk; qualitative criteria; multi-criteria decision analysis.;

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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