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¿Está la economía del comportamiento condenada a desaparecer? Lo ordinario frente a lo extraordinario


  • Levine, David K.

    (Departamento de Economía de la Universidad de Washington, Campus St. Louis)


Modern economics examines a range of issues ranging from political economy to the theory of organizations. Behavioral economics purports to be instrumental in these extensions. The goal of this essay is to address the question of what —if anything— behavioral economics brings to economics. The modern paradigmatic man (or more often these days woman) in modern economics is different than the ice cold calculating machine that often serves as a straw-man. The decision-maker in modern economics is beset on all sides by uncertainty. Our central interest is in how successful we are in coming to grips with that uncertainty. My goal in this essay is to detail not the theory as it exists in the minds of critics who are unfamiliar with it, but as it exists in the minds of working economists. The theory is far more successful than is widely imagined —but is not without weaknesses that behavioral economics has the potential to remedy.// La economía moderna examina una variedad de temas que abarca desde la política económica hasta la teoría de las organizaciones. La economía del comportamiento (behavioral economics) propone ser instrumental para comprender estos temas. El objetivo de este artículo es responder la pregunta sobre qué es lo que aporta la economía del comportamiento a la ciencia económica. El hombre (o mujer, con más frecuencia en estos tiempos) moderno paradigmático de la economía moderna difiere de la máquina calculadora y fría que se utiliza como instrumento de trabajo. El tomador de decisiones de la economía moderna está rodeado de incertidumbre por todos lados. Nuestro interés central es medir qué tan exitosos somos en la comprensión de la incertidumbre. Mi objetivo en este artículo no es detallar la teoría tal como se encuentra en la mente de los críticos que no están familiarizados con ella, sino como se encuentra en la mente de los economistas que la utilizan. Esta teoría es mucho más exitosa de lo que la mayoría imagina —pero no carece de debilidades que la economía del comportamiento tiene el potencial de remediar.

Suggested Citation

  • Levine, David K., 2010. "¿Está la economía del comportamiento condenada a desaparecer? Lo ordinario frente a lo extraordinario," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(307), pages 509-531, julio-sep.
  • Handle: RePEc:elt:journl:v:77:y:2010:i:307:p:509-531 DOI:

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. West, Kenneth D, 1996. "Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(5), pages 1067-1084, September.
    2. Victor Zarnowitz, 1978. "On the Accuracy and Properties of Recent Macroeconomic Forecasts," NBER Working Papers 0229, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Daniel Chiquiar & Antonio Noriega & Manuel Ramos-Francia, 2010. "A time-series approach to test a change in inflation persistence: the Mexican experience," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(24), pages 3067-3075.
    4. Bentancor, Andrea & Pincheira, Pablo, 2010. "Predicción de errores de proyección de inflación en Chile," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(305), pages 129-154, enero-mar.
    5. Ang, Andrew & Bekaert, Geert & Wei, Min, 2007. "Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 1163-1212, May.
    6. Carlos Bowles & Roberta Friz & Veronique Genre & Geoff Kenny & Aidan Meyler & Tuomas Rautanen, 2007. "The ECB survey of professional forecasters (SPF) – A review after eight years’ experience," Occasional Paper Series 59, European Central Bank.
    7. Allan Timmermann, 2007. "An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 54(1), pages 1-33, May.
    8. Chumacero, Romulo A, 2001. "Empirical Analysis of Systematic Errors in Chilean GDP Forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(1), pages 37-45, January.
    9. Zarnowitz, Victor, 1978. "On the Accuracy and Properties of Recent Macroeconomic Forecasts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 68(2), pages 313-319, May.
    10. Fabia A de Carvalho & Mauricio S. Bugarin, 2006. "Inflation Expectations in Latin America," ECONOMIA JOURNAL OF THE LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION, ECONOMIA JOURNAL OF THE LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 101-145, January.
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    More about this item


    Comportamiento; metodología; juegos no cooperativos y microeconomía;

    JEL classification:

    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • D90 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - General


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