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Castellón horizonte 2020: un modelo con innovaciones metodológicas de prospectiva estratégica regional


  • César Camisón Zornoza

    (Universitat Jaume I, Grupo de Investigación en Estrategia, Competitividad y Gestión del Conocimiento y la Innovación (GRECO))

  • Juan Manuel Badenas Carpio

    (Agencia Valenciana de Evaluación y Prospectiva)

  • Esther Ruano Ortiz

    (Agencia Valenciana de Evaluación y Prospectiva)


This work proposes a new method for a regional foresight case, based on collective construction and the consensus reached by local actors of a desired future that illustrates the possibilities of foresight in the exploring of territory. In the work, the perceptions of a multidisciplinary panel of experts are gathered through a staged Delphi study and a way of treating the information that combines a structural analysis, a study on crossed impacts and the creation of different scenarios. The combination of these techniques is of special interest in order when structuring and guiding the collective reflection about change tendencies and the possible future for a given space, in our case, the province of Castellon, on the horizon prolonged for a decade. The results obtained from this exercise have been positive, for the quality and reliability of the information complied and they can be interpreted as a call to the leadership of regional development planes and strategic planes based on the collective and expert reflection that facilitates the visualization of a shared horizon about the designed guidelines and the growth and modernization strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • César Camisón Zornoza & Juan Manuel Badenas Carpio & Esther Ruano Ortiz, 2011. "Castellón horizonte 2020: un modelo con innovaciones metodológicas de prospectiva estratégica regional," EKONOMIAZ. Revista vasca de Economía, Gobierno Vasco / Eusko Jaurlaritza / Basque Government, vol. 76(01), pages 268-299.
  • Handle: RePEc:ekz:ekonoz:2011116

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    More about this item


    regional foresight; methodologic innovation; Delphi; crossed impacts; scenaries;

    JEL classification:

    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy


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