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Revisiting positive peace using systems tools

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  • Amadei, Bernard

Abstract

This paper looks at peace with an integrated perspective. As a state, peace cannot be measured directly and requires the use of proxies and indicators. This paper revisits the positive peace index (PPI) introduced by the Institute for Economy and Peace (IEP) through the lens of systems thinking and modeling. Three sets of systems tools (cross-impact analysis, network analysis, and system dynamics) are proposed to explicitly account for the different levels of influence and dependence among the eight domains used to determine the PPI at the country level. Although more comprehensive than the original IEP formulation, the integrated approach proposed herein requires decisionmakers to be systems thinkers and able to conduct a detailed analysis of how the eight domains influence (impact) or depend on (sensitive to) each other. The proposed approach allows decisionmakers to capture the multidimensional and cross-disciplinary nature of positive peace better. This paper also shows that the three components of peace (positive, negative, and cultural) initially proposed by Johan Galtung can be represented using three-dimensional geometric features.

Suggested Citation

  • Amadei, Bernard, 2020. "Revisiting positive peace using systems tools," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:158:y:2020:i:c:s0040162520309756
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120149
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David Zelinka & Bernard Amadei, 2019. "A Systems Approach for Modeling Interactions Among the Sustainable Development Goals Part 2: System Dynamics," International Journal of System Dynamics Applications (IJSDA), IGI Global, vol. 8(1), pages 41-59, January.
    2. Bernard Amadei, 2019. "Engineering for Peace and Diplomacy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-17, October.
    3. David Zelinka & Bernard Amadei, 2019. "Systems Approach for Modeling Interactions Among the Sustainable Development Goals Part 1: Cross-Impact Network Analysis," International Journal of System Dynamics Applications (IJSDA), IGI Global, vol. 8(1), pages 23-40, January.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ahn, Sang-Jin & Yi, Seung-Kyu, 2021. "Methodological framework for analyzing peace engineering: Focusing on Kaesong Industrial Complex and North Korean innovators in South Korea," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    2. Yong S. Nyam & Julius H. Kotir & Andries J. Jordaan & Abiodun A. Ogundeji & Adetoso A. Adetoro & Israel R. Orimoloye, 2020. "Towards Understanding and Sustaining Natural Resource Systems through the Systems Perspective: A Systematic Evaluation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-20, November.
    3. Bernard Amadei, 2021. "Systemic Modeling of the Peace–Development Nexus," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-21, February.

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