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Sharp large deviations for the non-stationary Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process

  • Bercu, Bernard
  • Coutin, Laure
  • Savy, Nicolas
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    For the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter is totally different in the stable, unstable, and explosive cases. Notwithstanding this trichotomy, we investigate sharp large deviation principles for this estimator in the three situations. In the explosive case, we exhibit a very unusual rate function with a shaped flat valley and an abrupt discontinuity point at its minimum.

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    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304414912001251
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    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Stochastic Processes and their Applications.

    Volume (Year): 122 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 10 ()
    Pages: 3393-3424

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:122:y:2012:i:10:p:3393-3424
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    1. Zani, Marguerite, 2002. "Large deviations for squared radial Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 102(1), pages 25-42, November.
    2. Dietz Hans M. & Kutoyants Yury A., 2003. "Parameter estimation for some non-recurrent solutions of SDE," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 21(1/2003), pages 29-46, January.
    3. Shimizu, Yasutaka, 2009. "Notes on drift estimation for certain non-recurrent diffusion processes from sampled data," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(20), pages 2200-2207, October.
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