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Real-time incident detection in geothermal drilling through machine learning

Author

Listed:
  • Aspiras, Aira H.
  • Zarrouk, Sadiq J.
  • Winmill, Ralph
  • Kempa-Liehr, Andreas W.

Abstract

Geothermal energy, while a reliable baseload low-carbon resource, only comprise a small fraction of global renewable capacity due to high upfront costs and resource risks. Drilling wells accounts for ∼60 % of capital investment costs, thus finishing wells on-time and within budget has always been a crucial challenge for operators and challenges like fault structures, severe lost circulation, and high temperatures inherent to geothermal systems make this difficult. Early detection is crucial in taking corrective actions before problems escalate and leveraging machine learning (ML) technologies offers the potential to identify patterns that precede hole-related non-productive time incidents, such as stuckpipes or borehole instability.

Suggested Citation

  • Aspiras, Aira H. & Zarrouk, Sadiq J. & Winmill, Ralph & Kempa-Liehr, Andreas W., 2025. "Real-time incident detection in geothermal drilling through machine learning," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:250:y:2025:i:c:s096014812500922x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2025.123260
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Javed Akbar Khan & Muhammad Irfan & Sonny Irawan & Fong Kam Yao & Md Shokor Abdul Rahaman & Ahmad Radzi Shahari & Adam Glowacz & Nazia Zeb, 2020. "Comparison of Machine Learning Classifiers for Accurate Prediction of Real-Time Stuck Pipe Incidents," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-26, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shan, Kun & Cong, Lianghan & Yu, Ziwang & Ye, Xiaoqi, 2026. "Artificial intelligence empowering geothermal energy development: A full-lifecycle review from exploration to operation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 226(PE).

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