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Quantitative occupational risk model: Single hazard

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  • Papazoglou, I.A.
  • Aneziris, O.N.
  • Bellamy, L.J.
  • Ale, B.J.M.
  • Oh, J.

Abstract

A model for the quantification of occupational risk of a worker exposed to a single hazard is presented. The model connects the working conditions and worker behaviour to the probability of an accident resulting into one of three types of consequence: recoverable injury, permanent injury and death. Working conditions and safety barriers in place to reduce the likelihood of an accident are included. Logical connections are modelled through an influence diagram. Quantification of the model is based on two sources of information: a) number of accidents observed over a period of time and b) assessment of exposure data of activities and working conditions over the same period of time and the same working population. Effectiveness of risk reducing measures affecting the working conditions, worker behaviour and/or safety barriers can be quantified through the effect of these measures on occupational risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Papazoglou, I.A. & Aneziris, O.N. & Bellamy, L.J. & Ale, B.J.M. & Oh, J., 2017. "Quantitative occupational risk model: Single hazard," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 162-173.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:160:y:2017:i:c:p:162-173
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2016.12.010
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Khakzad, Nima & Khan, Faisal & Amyotte, Paul, 2013. "Risk-based design of process systems using discrete-time Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 5-17.
    2. TRONTIN, Christian & BEJEAN, Sophie, 2001. "Prevention of occupational injuries : moral hazard and complex agency relationships," LATEC - Document de travail - Economie (1991-2003) 2001-07, LATEC, Laboratoire d'Analyse et des Techniques EConomiques, CNRS UMR 5118, Université de Bourgogne.
    3. Song, Guozheng & Khan, Faisal & Wang, Hangzhou & Leighton, Shelly & Yuan, Zhi & Liu, Hanwen, 2016. "Dynamic occupational risk model for offshore operations in harsh environments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 58-64.
    4. Papazoglou, Ioannis A. & Ale, Ben J.M., 2007. "A logical model for quantification of occupational risk," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(6), pages 785-803.
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    Cited by:

    1. Papazoglou, I.A. & Aneziris, O.N. & Bellamy, L.J. & Ale, B.J.M. & Oh, J., 2017. "Multi-hazard multi-person quantitative occupational risk model and risk management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 310-326.
    2. Zhang, Xiaoge & Mahadevan, Sankaran, 2021. "Bayesian network modeling of accident investigation reports for aviation safety assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).

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