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Identifying tax-setting responses from local fiscal policy programs

Author

Listed:
  • Thunecke, Georg U.
  • Merlo, Valeria
  • Schanbacher, Andreas
  • Wamser, Georg

Abstract

This paper provides event-study evidence on the dynamics of strategic tax-policy interactions. Using the participation of German municipalities in state debt reduction programs as a quasi-exogenous shock, we demonstrate how these programs affect tax rates of participating municipalities. We then illustrate how competing municipalities – not directly affected by the program – adjust their tax rates in response. Combining both steps using a two-sample Wald estimator, the strategic response of competitors to a one-unit tax change by program participants ranges from 0.66 to 0.70 for the local business tax and 0.34 to 0.49 for the property tax. Characteristics of municipalities, especially proximity, influence the size and scope of tax interdependence.

Suggested Citation

  • Thunecke, Georg U. & Merlo, Valeria & Schanbacher, Andreas & Wamser, Georg, 2026. "Identifying tax-setting responses from local fiscal policy programs," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:pubeco:v:258:y:2026:i:c:s0047272726000794
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2026.105643
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    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • H71 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • H73 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - Interjurisdictional Differentials and Their Effects
    • R59 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Other

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