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Effects of asymptomatic infection on the dynamical interplay between behavior and disease transmission in multiplex networks

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Listed:
  • Shi, Tianyu
  • Long, Ting
  • Pan, Yaohui
  • Zhang, Wensi
  • Dong, Chao
  • Yin, Qiuju

Abstract

Multiplex network theory is widely introduced to deepen the understanding of the dynamical interplay between self-protective behavior and epidemic spreading. Most of the existing studies assumed that all infected individuals can transmit disease- related information or can be perceived by their neighbors. However, owing to lack of distinct symptoms for patients in the initial stage of infection, the disease information cannot be transmitted in the population, which may lead to the wrong perception of infection risk and inappropriate behavior response. In this work, we divide infected individuals into Exposed-state (without obvious clinical symptoms) individuals and Infected-state (with evident clinical symptoms) individuals, both of whom can spread disease, but only Infected-state individuals can diffuse disease information. Then, in this work we establish UAU-SEIS (Unaware–Aware–Unaware–Susceptible–Exposed–Infected–Susceptible) model in multiplex networks and analyze the effect of asymptomatic infection and the isolation of Infected-state individuals on the density of infection and the epidemic threshold. Furthermore, we extend the UAU-SEIS model by taking the individual heterogeneity into consideration. Combined Markov chain approach and Monte-Carlo Simulations, we find that asymptomatic infection has an effect on the density of infected individuals and the epidemic threshold, and the extent of the effect is influenced by whether Infected-state individuals are isolated or treated. In addition, results show that the individual heterogeneity can lower the density of infected individuals, but cannot enhance the epidemic threshold.

Suggested Citation

  • Shi, Tianyu & Long, Ting & Pan, Yaohui & Zhang, Wensi & Dong, Chao & Yin, Qiuju, 2019. "Effects of asymptomatic infection on the dynamical interplay between behavior and disease transmission in multiplex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:536:y:2019:i:c:s0378437119306405
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2019.04.266
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dong, Chao & Yin, Qiuju & Liu, Wenyang & Yan, Zhijun & Shi, Tianyu, 2015. "Can rewiring strategy control the epidemic spreading?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 438(C), pages 169-177.
    2. Li, Ruiqi & Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M., 2018. "Effect of population density on epidemics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 510(C), pages 713-724.
    3. Nicola Perra & Duygu Balcan & Bruno Gonçalves & Alessandro Vespignani, 2011. "Towards a Characterization of Behavior-Disease Models," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(8), pages 1-15, August.
    4. Zhang, Hai-Feng & Shu, Pan-Pan & Wang, Zhen & Tang, Ming & Small, Michael, 2017. "Preferential imitation can invalidate targeted subsidy policies on seasonal-influenza diseases," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 294(C), pages 332-342.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ma, Weicai & Zhang, Peng & Zhao, Xin & Xue, Leyang, 2022. "The coupled dynamics of information dissemination and SEIR-based epidemic spreading in multiplex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 588(C).
    2. Huo, Liang’an & Gu, Jiafeng, 2023. "The influence of individual emotions on the coupled model of unconfirmed information propagation and epidemic spreading in multilayer networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 609(C).
    3. Huang, He & Chen, Yahong & Yan, Zhijun, 2021. "Impacts of social distancing on the spread of infectious diseases with asymptomatic infection: A mathematical model," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 398(C).
    4. Jia Wang & Zhiping Wang & Ping Yu & Peiwen Wang, 2022. "The SEIR Dynamic Evolutionary Model with Markov Chains in Hyper Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-16, October.

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