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Deciphering infant mortality

Author

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  • Berrut, Sylvie
  • Pouillard, Violette
  • Richmond, Peter
  • Roehner, Bertrand M.

Abstract

This paper is about infant mortality. In line with reliability theory, “infant” refers to the time interval following birth during which the mortality (or failure) rate decreases. This definition provides a systems science perspective in which birth constitutes a sudden transition falling within the field of application of the Transient Shock (TS) conjecture put forward in Richmond and Roehner (2016c). This conjecture provides predictions about the timing and shape of the death rate peak. It says that there will be a death rate spike whenever external conditions change abruptly and drastically and also predicts that after a steep rise there will be a much longer hyperbolic relaxation process.

Suggested Citation

  • Berrut, Sylvie & Pouillard, Violette & Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M., 2016. "Deciphering infant mortality," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 463(C), pages 400-426.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:463:y:2016:i:c:p:400-426
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.07.031
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Iliana Kohler & Samuel H. Preston & Laurie Bingaman Lackey, 2006. "Comparative mortality levels among selected species of captive animals," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 15(14), pages 413-434.
    2. Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M., 2016. "Effect of marital status on death rates. Part 2: Transient mortality spikes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 450(C), pages 768-784.
    3. Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M., 2016. "Effect of marital status on death rates. Part 1: High accuracy exploration of the Farr–Bertillon effect," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 450(C), pages 748-767.
    4. Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M., 2016. "Predictive implications of Gompertz’s law," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 447(C), pages 446-454.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Berrut, Sylvie & Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M., 2017. "Age spectrometry of infant death rates as a probe of immunity: Identification of two peaks due to viral and bacterial diseases respectively," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 915-924.
    2. Haffner, Benjamin & Lalieu, Jonathan & Richmond, Peter & Hutzler, Stefan, 2018. "Can soap films be used as models for mortality studies?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 461-470.
    3. Bois, Alex & Garcia-Roger, Eduardo M. & Hong, Elim & Hutzler, Stefan & Irannezhad, Ali & Mannioui, Abdelkrim & Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M. & Tronche, Stéphane, 2019. "Infant mortality across species. A global probe of congenital abnormalities," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    4. Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M. & Irannezhad, Ali & Hutzler, Stefan, 2021. "Mortality: A physics perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 566(C).
    5. Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M., 2019. "A physicist’s view of the similarities and differences between tuberculosis and cancer," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    6. Berrut, Sylvan & Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M., 2018. "Excess tuberculosis-mortality in young women: High accuracy exploration," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 506(C), pages 476-485.
    7. Bois, Alex & Garcia-Roger, Eduardo M. & Hong, Elim & Hutzler, Stefan & Irannezhad, Ali & Mannioui, Abdelkrim & Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M. & Tronche, Stéphane, 2020. "Congenital anomalies from a physics perspective. The key role of “manufacturing” volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 537(C).

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    1. Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M. & Irannezhad, Ali & Hutzler, Stefan, 2021. "Mortality: A physics perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 566(C).
    2. Haffner, Benjamin & Lalieu, Jonathan & Richmond, Peter & Hutzler, Stefan, 2018. "Can soap films be used as models for mortality studies?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 461-470.
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    6. Bois, Alex & Garcia-Roger, Eduardo M. & Hong, Elim & Hutzler, Stefan & Irannezhad, Ali & Mannioui, Abdelkrim & Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M. & Tronche, Stéphane, 2020. "Congenital anomalies from a physics perspective. The key role of “manufacturing” volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 537(C).
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    9. Richmond, Peter & Roehner, Bertrand M., 2016. "Effect of marital status on death rates. Part 2: Transient mortality spikes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 450(C), pages 768-784.

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