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Tail distribution of index fluctuations in World markets

Author

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  • Eryiğit, Mehmet
  • Çukur, Sadik
  • Eryiğit, Resul

Abstract

We have investigated the tail distribution of the daily fluctuations in 202 different indices in the stock markets of 59 countries for the time span of the last 20 years. Power law, log-normal, Weibull, exponential and power law with exponential cutoff distributions are considered as possible candidates for the tail distribution of the normalized returns. It is found that the power exponent depends strongly on the choice of the tail threshold and a sizeable number of indices can be better fitted by a distribution function other than the power law at the region that has power law exponent of 3. Also, we have found that the power exponent is not an indicator of the maturity of the market.

Suggested Citation

  • Eryiğit, Mehmet & Çukur, Sadik & Eryiğit, Resul, 2009. "Tail distribution of index fluctuations in World markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(9), pages 1879-1886.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:388:y:2009:i:9:p:1879-1886
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2009.01.019
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. De Domenico, Federica & Livan, Giacomo & Montagna, Guido & Nicrosini, Oreste, 2023. "Modeling and simulation of financial returns under non-Gaussian distributions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 622(C).
    2. Trindade, Marco A.S. & Floquet, Sergio & Filho, Lourival M. Silva, 2020. "Portfolio theory, information theory and Tsallis statistics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
    3. Hanousek, Jan & Novotný, Jan, 2012. "Price jumps in Visegrad-country stock markets: An empirical analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 184-201.
    4. Hanousek Jan & Kočenda Evžen & Novotný Jan, 2012. "The identification of price jumps," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 53-77, January.
    5. Federica De Domenico & Giacomo Livan & Guido Montagna & Oreste Nicrosini, 2023. "Modeling and Simulation of Financial Returns under Non-Gaussian Distributions," Papers 2302.02769, arXiv.org.
    6. Fabio Pizzutilo, 2013. "The Distribution of the Returns of Japanese Stocks and Portfolios," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(9), pages 1249-1259, September.

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