IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/lauspo/v150y2025ics0264837724004083.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Rural land sustainability development planning and use by considering land multifunction values: A case study of analysis and simulation

Author

Listed:
  • Liu, Zhengjia

Abstract

Multifunction values and optimizations of land use are greatly responsible for improving the comprehensive development abilities of rural area. However, current studies less quantitatively clarified their causal relationships. To bridge the gap, this study firstly took a typical region in the Northeast China, Qiqihar city, as a case study area in view of the importance of the synergy promotion between black soil land optimal use and rural development in China. Land use function values were secondly introduced into rural land use optimization simulations with the help of the models of Markov-chain and multi-objective planning, and proposed four potential 2035 rural development scenarios, i.e., maintaining current development (S1-MCD), low-speed development (S2-LSD), middle-speed development (S3-MSD), and high-speed development (S4-HSD). A model of coupled machine learning and cellular automaton was finally used to simulate explicitly spatial land use structures. Results showed the comprehensive benefits of 2035 rural land use size was lowest in S1-CMD scenario, followed by S2-LSD scenario and S3-MSD scenario, while S4-HSD scenario boasted the highest value. In comparison to S1-CMD and S2-LSD scenario, S3-MSD and S4-HSD scenarios could be suitable modes for future Qiqihar rural area due to higher function values. Croplands, ecological lands (including forests, grasslands, and water bodies), unused land and built-up land were 69.17 %, 16.86 %, 8.88 %, 5.10 % of the total study area for S3-MSD scenario, and 69.17 %, 16.84 %, 8.20 %, 5.79 % for S4-HSD scenario, respectively. They both highlighted to optimize land use structures, e.g., reducing and redistributing current croplands, and increasing ecological lands. The S3-MSD scenario particularly underlined increasing forests to improve the ecosystem service function value in space. This study suggests that arousing land multifunction values could be a key channel for the coordinated advancements between rural revitalization and black soil land conservation in the Northeast China.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Zhengjia, 2025. "Rural land sustainability development planning and use by considering land multifunction values: A case study of analysis and simulation," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:150:y:2025:i:c:s0264837724004083
    DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107455
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264837724004083
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107455?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Li, Long & Huang, Xianjin & Yang, Hong, 2023. "Optimizing land use patterns to improve the contribution of land use planning to carbon neutrality target," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    2. Xiaoping Liu & Yinghuai Huang & Xiaocong Xu & Xuecao Li & Xia Li & Philippe Ciais & Peirong Lin & Kai Gong & Alan D. Ziegler & Anping Chen & Peng Gong & Jun Chen & Guohua Hu & Yimin Chen & Shaojian Wa, 2020. "High-spatiotemporal-resolution mapping of global urban change from 1985 to 2015," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 3(7), pages 564-570, July.
    3. Rahel Hamad & Heiko Balzter & Kamal Kolo, 2018. "Predicting Land Use/Land Cover Changes Using a CA-Markov Model under Two Different Scenarios," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-23, September.
    4. Xu, Dingde & Deng, Xin & Huang, Kai & Liu, Yi & Yong, Zhuolin & Liu, Shaoquan, 2019. "Relationships between labor migration and cropland abandonment in rural China from the perspective of village types," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    5. Guangzhao Chen & Xia Li & Xiaoping Liu & Yimin Chen & Xun Liang & Jiye Leng & Xiaocong Xu & Weilin Liao & Yue’an Qiu & Qianlian Wu & Kangning Huang, 2020. "Global projections of future urban land expansion under shared socioeconomic pathways," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    6. Huang, Yaofu & Hui, Eddie C.M. & Zhou, Jinmiao & Lang, Wei & Chen, Tingting & Li, Xun, 2020. "Rural Revitalization in China: Land-Use Optimization through the Practice of Place-making," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    7. Qiang Ren & Chunyang He & Qingxu Huang & Peijun Shi & Da Zhang & Burak Güneralp, 2022. "Impacts of urban expansion on natural habitats in global drylands," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 5(10), pages 869-878, October.
    8. Jiang, Guanghui & Wang, Mingzhu & Qu, Yanbo & Zhou, Dingyang & Ma, Wenqiu, 2020. "Towards cultivated land multifunction assessment in China: Applying the “influencing factors-functions-products-demands” integrated framework," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lou, Zhenyan & Zhao, Xu & Chen, Cong & Peng, Shengping, 2025. "Rural revitalisation: Spatio-temporal evolution and multi-scenario prediction of ecosystem service values of second homes in Moudao, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    2. Yang You & Pingan Jiang & Yakun Wang & Wen’e Wang & Dianyu Chen & Xiaotao Hu, 2025. "Using Multi-Scenario Analyses to Determine the Driving Factors of Land Use in Inland River Basins in Arid Northwest China," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-24, April.
    3. Rong Lin & Yujing Wu & Yuqiu Wu & Ran Wu & Jing Yang, 2025. "Park City 2035: Analysis of Policy-Driven Urban Expansion and Heat Island Effects Under Scenario Simulation," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-25, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ma, Chen & Li, Manchun & Jiang, Penghui, 2024. "The multiscale response of global cropland cropping intensity to urban expansion," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    2. CHEN, Running & PENG, Yisong & REN, Qiang & WU, Jiayu, 2025. "Optimizing global protected areas to address future land use threats to biodiversity," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    3. Yue Su & Chong Su & Yan Xie & Tan Li & Yongjun Li & Yuanyuan Sun, 2022. "Controlling Non-Grain Production Based on Cultivated Land Multifunction Assessment," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(3), pages 1-17, January.
    4. Feng, Xinhui & Wang, Sensen & Li, Yan & Yang, Jiayu & Lei, Kaige & Yuan, Weikang, 2024. "Spatial heterogeneity and driving mechanisms of carbon emissions in urban expansion areas: A research framework coupled with patterns and functions," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    5. Zhang, Pengyan & Yang, Dan & Qin, Mingzhou & Jing, Wenlong, 2020. "Spatial heterogeneity analysis and driving forces exploring of built-up land development intensity in Chinese prefecture-level cities and implications for future Urban Land intensive use," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    6. Lu, Dan & Su, Kangchuan & Wang, Zhanpeng & Hou, Mengjie & Li, Xinxin & Lin, Aiwen & Yang, Qingyuan, 2025. "Patterns and drivers of terrace abandonment in China: Monitoring based on multi-source remote sensing data," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    7. Weiwen Wang & Jian Gong & Ying Wang & Yang Shen, 2022. "The Causal Pathway of Rural Human Settlement, Livelihood Capital, and Agricultural Land Transfer Decision-Making: Is It Regional Consistency?," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-24, July.
    8. Li, Shuoshuo & Liu, Yaobin & Wei, Guoen & Bi, Mo & He, Bao-Jie, 2024. "Carbon surplus or carbon deficit under land use transformation in China?," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    9. Linghua Qiu & Junhao He & Chao Yue & Philippe Ciais & Chunmiao Zheng, 2024. "Substantial terrestrial carbon emissions from global expansion of impervious surface area," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    10. Sri Murniani Angelina Letsoin & David Herak & Fajar Rahmawan & Ratna Chrismiari Purwestri, 2020. "Land Cover Changes from 1990 to 2019 in Papua, Indonesia: Results of the Remote Sensing Imagery," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-18, August.
    11. Han Li & Wei Song, 2021. "Cropland Abandonment and Influencing Factors in Chongqing, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-21, November.
    12. Jiali He & Xiangfei Liu & Xuetong Wang & Xueyang Li & Linger Yu & Beibei Niu, 2024. "Spatiotemporal Evolution of Territorial Spaces and Its Effect on Carbon Emissions in Qingdao City, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-22, October.
    13. Jieying Yang & Li Yu & Jingxiang Zhang, 2024. "Impacts on Rural Community Development and Governance by Different Land Ownership: A Comparative Study Based on Two Villages in China," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 36(6), pages 1616-1635, December.
    14. Zhixing Ma & Shili Guo & Xin Deng & Dingde Xu, 2021. "Community resilience and resident's disaster preparedness: evidence from China's earthquake-stricken areas," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 567-591, August.
    15. Juan Carlos Alías & José Antonio Mejías & Natividad Chaves, 2022. "Effect of Cropland Abandonment on Soil Carbon Stock in an Agroforestry System in Southwestern Spain," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-12, March.
    16. Milad Asadi & Amir Oshnooei-Nooshabadi & Samira-Sadat Saleh & Fattaneh Habibnezhad & Sonia Sarafraz-Asbagh & John Lodewijk Van Genderen, 2022. "Urban Sprawl Simulation Mapping of Urmia (Iran) by Comparison of Cellular Automata–Markov Chain and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Modeling Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-16, November.
    17. Raoof Mostafazadeh & Hossein Talebi Khiavi, 2024. "Landscape change assessment and its prediction in a mountainous gradient with diverse land-uses," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 3911-3941, February.
    18. Ana Luiza Fontenelle & Erik Nilsson & Ieda Geriberto Hidalgo & Cintia B. Uvo & Drielli Peyerl, 2022. "Temporal Understanding of the Water–Energy Nexus: A Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-21, April.
    19. Yu Lang & Guixia Wang & Sonny Gad Attipoe & Dongxu Han, 2022. "Does off-farm employment contribute to chemical fertilizer reduction? New evidence from the main rice-producing area in Jilin Province, China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(12), pages 1-26, December.
    20. Changqing Sun & Yulong Bao & Battsengel Vandansambuu & Yuhai Bao, 2022. "Simulation and Prediction of Land Use/Cover Changes Based on CLUE-S and CA-Markov Models: A Case Study of a Typical Pastoral Area in Mongolia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-21, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:150:y:2025:i:c:s0264837724004083. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joice Jiang (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/land-use-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.