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Quantifying the error of convex order bounds for truncated first moments

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  • Brückner, Karsten

Abstract

The concepts of convex order and comonotonicity have become quite popular in risk theory, essentially since Kaas et al. [Kaas, R., Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M.J., 2000. Upper and lower bounds for sums of random variables. Insurance: Math. Econ. 27, 151-168] constructed bounds in the convex order sense for a sum S of random variables without imposing any dependence structure upon it. Those bounds are especially helpful, if the distribution of S cannot be calculated explicitly or is too cumbersome to work with. This will be the case for sums of lognormally distributed random variables, which frequently appear in the context of insurance and finance. In this article we quantify the maximal error in terms of truncated first moments, when S is approximated by a lower or an upper convex order bound to it. We make use of geometrical arguments; from the unknown distribution of S only its variance is involved in the computation of the error bounds. The results are illustrated by pricing an Asian option. It is shown that under certain circumstances our error bounds outperform other known error bounds, e.g. the bound proposed by Nielsen and Sandmann [Nielsen, J.A., Sandmann, K., 2003. Pricing bounds on Asian options. J. Financ. Quant. Anal. 38, 449-473].

Suggested Citation

  • Brückner, Karsten, 2008. "Quantifying the error of convex order bounds for truncated first moments," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 261-270, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:42:y:2008:i:1:p:261-270
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kaas, Rob & Dhaene, Jan & Goovaerts, Marc J., 2000. "Upper and lower bounds for sums of random variables," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 151-168, October.
    2. Nielsen, J. Aase & Sandmann, Klaus, 2003. "Pricing Bounds on Asian Options," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 38(2), pages 449-473, June.
    3. Deelstra, G. & Liinev, J. & Vanmaele, M., 2004. "Pricing of arithmetic basket options by conditioning," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 55-77, February.
    4. Griselda Deelstra & Jan Liinev & Michèle Vanmaele, 2004. "Pricing of arithmetic basket options by conditioning," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/7600, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    5. Dhaene, J. & Denuit, M. & Goovaerts, M. J. & Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D., 2002. "The concept of comonotonicity in actuarial science and finance: theory," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 3-33, August.
    6. Dhaene, J. & Denuit, M. & Goovaerts, M. J. & Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D., 2002. "The concept of comonotonicity in actuarial science and finance: applications," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 133-161, October.
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