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Navigating demographic shifts: Population ageing and corporate cross-regional expansion

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Li
  • Zhao, Haodong
  • Shao, Bing
  • Dai, Yunhao

Abstract

While cross-regional capital flows are essential for resource allocation, their role in mitigating demographic pressures remains underexplored. This study examines how population ageing shapes corporate cross-regional expansion in China. Using robust identification strategies including instrumental variable estimation and exogenous policy shocks, we find that local ageing acts as a significant push factor incentivizing firms to establish non-local subsidiaries to mitigate rising labor cost pressures. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that this effect is driven by coping ability and expansion motivation, appearing more prominent among non-SOEs and firms with a lower digitalization degree, as well as labor-intensive firms and those in highly competitive industries. Our findings underscore that cross-regional expansion is a critical strategic response to navigate demographic shifts while contributing to a unified national market, offering key insights into sustaining corporate competitiveness in a graying society.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Li & Zhao, Haodong & Shao, Bing & Dai, Yunhao, 2026. "Navigating demographic shifts: Population ageing and corporate cross-regional expansion," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 986-1010.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:92:y:2026:i:c:p:986-1010
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2026.06.044
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    JEL classification:

    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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