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The resumption of sports competitions after COVID-19 lockdown: The case of the Spanish football league

Author

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  • Buldú, Javier M.
  • Antequera, Daniel R.
  • Aguirre, Jacobo

Abstract

In this work, we present a stochastic discrete-time SEIR Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recoveredmodel adapted to describe the propagation of COVID-19 during a football tournament. Specifically, we are concerned about the re-start of the Spanish national football league, La Liga, which is currently –May 2020– stopped with 11 fixtures remaining. Our model includes two additional states of an individual, confined and quarantined, which are reached when an individual presents COVID-19 symptoms or has undergone a virus test with a positive result. The model also accounts for the interaction dynamics of players, considering three different sources of infection: the player social circle, the contact with his/her team colleagues during training sessions, and the interaction with rivals during a match. Our results highlight the influence of the days between matches, the frequency of virus tests and their sensitivity on the number of players infected at the end of the season. Following our findings, we finally propose a variety of strategies to minimise the probability that COVID-19 propagates in case the season of La Liga was re-started after the current lockdown.

Suggested Citation

  • Buldú, Javier M. & Antequera, Daniel R. & Aguirre, Jacobo, 2020. "The resumption of sports competitions after COVID-19 lockdown: The case of the Spanish football league," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:138:y:2020:i:c:s0960077920303635
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109964
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    Cited by:

    1. Beiderbeck, Daniel & Frevel, Nicolas & von der Gracht, Heiko A. & Schmidt, Sascha L. & Schweitzer, Vera M., 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on the European football ecosystem – A Delphi-based scenario analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    2. Łukasz Radzimiński & Alexis Padrón-Cabo & Marek Konefał & Paweł Chmura & Andrzej Szwarc & Zbigniew Jastrzębski, 2021. "The Influence of COVID-19 Pandemic Lockdown on the Physical Performance of Professional Soccer Players: An Example of German and Polish Leagues," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(16), pages 1-11, August.
    3. Meng, Xueyu & Lin, Jianhong & Fan, Yufei & Gao, Fujuan & Fenoaltea, Enrico Maria & Cai, Zhiqiang & Si, Shubin, 2023. "Coupled disease-vaccination behavior dynamic analysis and its application in COVID-19 pandemic," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    4. Ștefan Catană & Sorin-George Toma & Cătălin Grădinaru & Raluca Rădoi, 2020. "The management of European football clubs in the COVID-19 pandemic," Manager Journal, Faculty of Business and Administration, University of Bucharest, vol. 32(1), pages 28-33, December.
    5. Gabriel González-Valero & Félix Zurita-Ortega & David Lindell-Postigo & Javier Conde-Pipó & Wilhelm Robert Grosz & Georgian Badicu, 2020. "Analysis of Self-Concept in Adolescents before and during COVID-19 Lockdown: Differences by Gender and Sports Activity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-16, September.
    6. Sharov, Konstantin S., 2020. "Creating and applying SIR modified compartmental model for calculation of COVID-19 lockdown efficiency," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Epidemics; SEIR; COVID-19; Sports;
    All these keywords.

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