IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chsofr/v137y2020ics0960077920302368.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

First hitting time about solution for an uncertain fractional differential equation and application to an uncertain risk index model

Author

Listed:
  • Jin, Ting
  • Zhu, Yuanguo

Abstract

Uncertain fractional differential equation with memory and hereditary characteristics is a useful way to better model the uncertain dynamic system. Firstly, the solution of an uncertain fractional differential equation with the Caputo type is considered and uncertain distributions of their first hitting time is investigated. On the basis of the α-path, two different first hitting time theorems for uncertain distributions are proposed. Secondly, by the predictor-corrector method, the numerical method is designed. A nonlinear example is provided for validating the availability of the proposed algorithm. Then, as an application of the first hitting time, a novel uncertain risk index model is presented and a formula of risk index under our model is derived accordingly. Lastly, the numerical algorithm of risk index is designed and numerical calculations for the risk index are illustrated with regard to different parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • Jin, Ting & Zhu, Yuanguo, 2020. "First hitting time about solution for an uncertain fractional differential equation and application to an uncertain risk index model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:137:y:2020:i:c:s0960077920302368
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109836
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077920302368
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109836?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dickson,David C. M., 2016. "Insurance Risk and Ruin," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107154605.
    2. Lu, Ziqiang & Zhu, Yuanguo, 2019. "Numerical approach for solution to an uncertain fractional differential equation," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 343(C), pages 137-148.
    3. Yang, Xiangfeng & Zhang, Zhiqiang & Gao, Xin, 2019. "Asian-barrier option pricing formulas of uncertain financial market," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 79-86.
    4. Jin, Ting & Sun, Yun & Zhu, Yuanguo, 2019. "Extreme values for solution to uncertain fractional differential equation and application to American option pricing model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    5. Kai Yao & Baoding Liu, 2020. "Parameter estimation in uncertain differential equations," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 1-12, March.
    6. Ziqiang Lu & Hongyan Yan & Yuanguo Zhu, 2019. "European option pricing model based on uncertain fractional differential equation," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 199-217, June.
    7. Tian, Miao & Yang, Xiangfeng & Zhang, Yi, 2019. "Barrier option pricing of mean-reverting stock model in uncertain environment," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 126-143.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jin, Ting & Ding, Hui & Xia, Hongxuan & Bao, Jinfeng, 2021. "Reliability index and Asian barrier option pricing formulas of the uncertain fractional first-hitting time model with Caputo type," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    2. Lu, Qinyun & Zhu, Yuanguo, 2021. "LQ optimal control of fractional-order discrete-time uncertain systems," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    3. Jia, Lifen & Chen, Wei, 2020. "Knock-in options of an uncertain stock model with floating interest rate," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    4. Weiwei Wang & Dan A. Ralescu, 2021. "Option pricing formulas based on uncertain fractional differential equation," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 471-495, December.
    5. Shi, Gang & Gao, Jinwu, 2021. "European Option Pricing Problems with Fractional Uncertain Processes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    6. Jin, Ting & Yang, Xiangfeng, 2021. "Monotonicity theorem for the uncertain fractional differential equation and application to uncertain financial market," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 203-221.
    7. Sheng, Yuhong & Yao, Kai & Qin, Zhongfeng, 2020. "Continuity and variation analysis of fractional uncertain processes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    8. Li, Bo & Zhang, Ranran & Jin, Ting & Shu, Yadong, 2021. "Parametric approximate optimal control of uncertain differential game with application to counter terror," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    9. Liu He & Yuanguo Zhu & Ziqiang Lu, 2023. "Parameter estimation for uncertain fractional differential equations," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 103-122, March.
    10. Shu, Yadong & Li, Bo, 2022. "Existence and uniqueness of solutions to uncertain fractional switched systems with an uncertain stock model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jin, Ting & Yang, Xiangfeng, 2021. "Monotonicity theorem for the uncertain fractional differential equation and application to uncertain financial market," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 203-221.
    2. Jin, Ting & Ding, Hui & Xia, Hongxuan & Bao, Jinfeng, 2021. "Reliability index and Asian barrier option pricing formulas of the uncertain fractional first-hitting time model with Caputo type," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    3. Jian Zhou & Yujiao Jiang & Athanasios A. Pantelous & Weiwen Dai, 2023. "A systematic review of uncertainty theory with the use of scientometrical method," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 463-518, September.
    4. Pan, Zeyu & Gao, Yin & Yuan, Lin, 2021. "Bermudan options pricing formulas in uncertain financial markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    5. Kai Yao & Zhongfeng Qin, 2021. "Barrier option pricing formulas of an uncertain stock model," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 81-100, March.
    6. Lu, Jing & Yang, Xiangfeng & Tian, Miao, 2022. "Barrier swaption pricing formulae of mean-reverting model in uncertain environment," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    7. Weiwei Wang & Dan A. Ralescu, 2021. "Option pricing formulas based on uncertain fractional differential equation," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 471-495, December.
    8. Wang, Jian & Zhu, Yuanguo & Gu, Yajing & Lu, Ziqiang, 2021. "Solutions of linear uncertain fractional order neutral differential equations," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 407(C).
    9. Yang, Xiangfeng & Liu, Yuhan & Park, Gyei-Kark, 2020. "Parameter estimation of uncertain differential equation with application to financial market," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    10. Caiwen Gao & Zhiqiang Zhang & Baoliang Liu, 2022. "Uncertain Population Model with Jumps," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(13), pages 1-12, June.
    11. Liu, Yiyu & Zhu, Yuanguo & Lu, Ziqiang, 2021. "On Caputo-Hadamard uncertain fractional differential equations," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    12. Wang, Weiwei & Ralescu, Dan A., 2021. "Valuation of lookback option under uncertain volatility model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P1).
    13. Jia, Lifen & Chen, Wei, 2020. "Knock-in options of an uncertain stock model with floating interest rate," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    14. Sheng, Yuhong & Yao, Kai & Qin, Zhongfeng, 2020. "Continuity and variation analysis of fractional uncertain processes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    15. Gao, Yin & Jia, Lifen, 2021. "Pricing formulas of barrier-lookback option in uncertain financial markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    16. Yan, Hongyan & Jin, Ting & Sun, Yun, 2020. "Uncertain bang–bang control problem for multi-stage switched systems," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 551(C).
    17. Liu He & Yuanguo Zhu & Ziqiang Lu, 2023. "Parameter estimation for uncertain fractional differential equations," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 103-122, March.
    18. Jia, Lifen & Liu, Xueyong, 2021. "Optimal harvesting strategy based on uncertain logistic population model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    19. Qinyun Lu & Yuanguo Zhu, 2020. "Finite-time stability of uncertain fractional difference equations," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 239-249, June.
    20. Shi, Gang & Gao, Jinwu, 2021. "European Option Pricing Problems with Fractional Uncertain Processes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:137:y:2020:i:c:s0960077920302368. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.