IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agiwat/v252y2021ics037837742100158x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evaluation of long-term climate change impact on the growing season and water use of mature pecan in Lower Rio Grande Valley

Author

Listed:
  • Mokari, Esmaiil
  • Samani, Zohrab
  • Heerema, Richard
  • Ward, Frank

Abstract

Pecan is a major crop in the Lower Rio Grande Valley (LRGV), New Mexico. New Mexico is currently the largest pecan producer in the United States. Pecan is also considered a major water user which can consume as much as 1200–1300 mm of water during the growing season. Climate change can have significant potential impact on the water requirement of pecan as well as its productivity and cost of production. This study evaluates the climate change effects on the duration of growing season (DGS) and water requirement of pecan in LRGV over the period of 1901–2019. Temperature data for the study period was used to identify the DGS. Hargreaves–Samani model was used to calculate reference evapotranspiration (ET0). Daily crop coefficient (Kc) over the study period was calculated using a developed regression model relating growing season Kc to cumulative growing degree days (GDD). The Mann-Kendall and Sen’s methods were applied to determine if there was a significant positive or negative trend in the DGS, ET0, and actual evapotranspiration (ETa). Statistical results showed a decreasing trend in the DGS over 1901–1950 whereas an increasing trend in the DGS was detected for the period of 1950–2019. Like the DGS variations, decreasing and increasing trends for both seasonal ET0 and ETa were observed for the first 50 years and the rest of the period with 99% confidence level, respectively. Results showed an increase of 124 mm in seasonal ETa between 1950 and 2019. The study showed that climate change effects in LRGV have been occurring for the study period, continuous increases in both DGS and ETa may bring changes in crop water requirement, and economics of pecan production as well as other horticultural challenges such as insufficient chill period for flowering, increased vivipary, and delayed or prolonged harvest.

Suggested Citation

  • Mokari, Esmaiil & Samani, Zohrab & Heerema, Richard & Ward, Frank, 2021. "Evaluation of long-term climate change impact on the growing season and water use of mature pecan in Lower Rio Grande Valley," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:252:y:2021:i:c:s037837742100158x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2021.106893
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037837742100158X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agwat.2021.106893?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sammis, T. W. & Mexal, J. G. & Miller, D., 2004. "Evapotranspiration of flood-irrigated pecans," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 69(3), pages 179-190, October.
    2. Zhang, Xiaotao & Kang, Shaozhong & Zhang, Lu & Liu, Junqi, 2010. "Spatial variation of climatology monthly crop reference evapotranspiration and sensitivity coefficients in Shiyang river basin of northwest China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(10), pages 1506-1516, October.
    3. Hossein Tabari, 2010. "Evaluation of Reference Crop Evapotranspiration Equations in Various Climates," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(10), pages 2311-2337, August.
    4. Samani, Zohrab & Bawazir, Salim & Skaggs, Rhonda & Longworth, John & Piñon, Aldo & Tran, Vien, 2011. "A simple irrigation scheduling approach for pecans," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(4), pages 661-664, February.
    5. Zhang, Lei & Traore, Seydou & Cui, Yuanlai & Luo, Yufeng & Zhu, Ge & Liu, Bo & Fipps, Guy & Karthikeyan, R. & Singh, Vijay, 2019. "Assessment of spatiotemporal variability of reference evapotranspiration and controlling climate factors over decades in China using geospatial techniques," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 499-511.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Funk, Bryana & Amer, Saud A. & Ward, Frank A., 2023. "Sustainable aquifer management for food security," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    2. Garcia-Vasquez, Ana Cristina & Mokari, Esmaiil & Samani, Zohrab & Fernald, Alexander, 2022. "Using UAV-thermal imaging to calculate crop water use and irrigation efficiency in a flood-irrigated pecan orchard," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 272(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ibraimo, Nadia A. & Taylor, Nicky J. & Steyn, J. Martin & Gush, Mark B. & Annandale, John G., 2016. "Estimating water use of mature pecan orchards: A six stage crop growth curve approach," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 359-368.
    2. Simmons, Luke J. & Wang, Junming & Sammis, Ted W. & Miller, David R., 2007. "An evaluation of two inexpensive energy-balance techniques for measuring water use in flood-irrigated pecans (Carya illinoinensis)," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 88(1-3), pages 181-191, March.
    3. Tianao Wu & Wei Zhang & Xiyun Jiao & Weihua Guo & Yousef Alhaj Hamoud, 2020. "Comparison of five Boosting-based models for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration with limited meteorological variables," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(6), pages 1-28, June.
    4. Jie Zhao & Zongxue Xu & Vijay P. Singh & Depeng Zuo & Mo Li, 2016. "Sensitivity of Potential Evapotranspiration to Climate and Vegetation in a Water-Limited Basin at the Northern Edge of Tibetan Plateau," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(13), pages 4667-4680, October.
    5. Traore, Seydou & Zhang, Lei & Guven, Aytac & Fipps, Guy, 2020. "Rice yield response forecasting tool (YIELDCAST) for supporting climate change adaptation decision in Sahel," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    6. Zambrano-Vaca, Carlos & Zotarelli, Lincoln & Beeson, Richard C. & Morgan, Kelly T. & Migliaccio, Kati W. & Chaparro, José X. & Olmstead, Mercy A., 2020. "Determining water requirements for young peach trees in a humid subtropical climate," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    7. Garcia-Vasquez, Ana Cristina & Mokari, Esmaiil & Samani, Zohrab & Fernald, Alexander, 2022. "Using UAV-thermal imaging to calculate crop water use and irrigation efficiency in a flood-irrigated pecan orchard," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 272(C).
    8. Raziei, Tayeb & Pereira, Luis S., 2013. "Estimation of ETo with Hargreaves–Samani and FAO-PM temperature methods for a wide range of climates in Iran," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 1-18.
    9. Xiang, Keyu & Li, Yi & Horton, Robert & Feng, Hao, 2020. "Similarity and difference of potential evapotranspiration and reference crop evapotranspiration – a review," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    10. Mashabatu, Munashe & Ntshidi, Zanele & Dzikiti, Sebinasi & Jovanovic, Nebojsa & Dube, Timothy & Taylor, Nicky J., 2023. "Deriving crop coefficients for evergreen and deciduous fruit orchards in South Africa using the fraction of vegetation cover and tree height data," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    11. Dimitrios Samaras & Albert Reif & Konstantinos Theodoropoulos, 2014. "Evaluation of Radiation-Based Reference Evapotranspiration Models Under Different Mediterranean Climates in Central Greece," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(1), pages 207-225, January.
    12. Samani, Zohrab & Bawazir, Salim & Skaggs, Rhonda & Longworth, John & Piñon, Aldo & Tran, Vien, 2011. "A simple irrigation scheduling approach for pecans," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(4), pages 661-664, February.
    13. Paredes, P. & Pereira, L.S. & Almorox, J. & Darouich, H., 2020. "Reference grass evapotranspiration with reduced data sets: Parameterization of the FAO Penman-Monteith temperature approach and the Hargeaves-Samani equation using local climatic variables," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    14. P. Attarod & F. Rostami & A. Dolatshahi & S.M.M. Sadeghi & G. Zahedi Amiri & V. Bayramzadeh, 2016. "Do changes in meteorological parameters and evapotranspiration affect declining oak forests of Iran?," Journal of Forest Science, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 62(12), pages 553-561.
    15. Zhang, Lei & Zhao, Xin & Zhu, Ge & He, Jun & Chen, Jian & Chen, Zhicheng & Traore, Seydou & Liu, Junguo & Singh, Vijay P., 2023. "Short-term daily reference evapotranspiration forecasting using temperature-based deep learning models in different climate zones in China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 289(C).
    16. Mohamed A. Mattar & A. A. Alazba & Bander Alblewi & Bahram Gharabaghi & Mohamed A. Yassin, 2016. "Evaluating and Calibrating Reference Evapotranspiration Models Using Water Balance under Hyper-Arid Environment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(11), pages 3745-3767, September.
    17. Andales, Allan & Wang, Junming & Sammis, Ted W. & Mexal, John G. & Simmons, Luke J. & Miller, David R. & Gutschick, Vince P., 2006. "A model of pecan tree growth for the management of pruning and irrigation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 84(1-2), pages 77-88, July.
    18. Wu, Dong & Fang, Shibo & Li, Xuan & He, Di & Zhu, Yongchao & Yang, Zaiqiang & Xu, Jiaxin & Wu, Yingjie, 2019. "Spatial-temporal variation in irrigation water requirement for the winter wheat-summer maize rotation system since the 1980s on the North China Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 78-86.
    19. Zhengyang Li & Yafeng Lu & Yukuan Wang & Jia Liu, 2022. "The Spatio-Temporal Evolution of the Soil Conservation Function of Ecosystems in the North–South Transition Zone in China: A Case Study of the Qinling-Daba Mountains," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-19, May.
    20. Zhao, Wenzhi & Chang, Xuexiang & Chang, Xueli & Zhang, Dengrong & Liu, Bing & Du, Jun & Lin, Pengfei, 2018. "Estimating water consumption based on meta-analysis and MODIS data for an oasis region in northwestern China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 478-489.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:252:y:2021:i:c:s037837742100158x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agwat .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.